Alert Details: Iran Threatens to Close the Persian Gulf AlertsUSA Alerts Issued December 12-13, 2011
Alarm Grows Over Iran's Latin America Threat December 1, 2011
Hezbollah Profits From Cocaine Trade with Mexican "Los Zetas" December 8, 2011
Japan Tsunami Flotsam Begins Washing Ashore in B.C. December 15, 2011
Alert Details:
On Dec 12-13, 2011, AlertsUSA issued the following Flash messages to subscribers:
December 12 FLASH: Iran MP says military to practice closing Straight of Hormuz to shipping. Iran military declines comment. Developing situation..
December 13 Regional sources report Iran has closed the Straights of Hormuz for military training. Oil prices rising fast. Consider filling your gas tank.
December 13 Iran Foreign Ministry denies Straights of Hormuz closure..
Some additional info:
"On Monday, Parviz Sarvari, a member of the Iranian parliament's national security committee, said, 'Soon we will hold a military maneuver on how to close the Strait of Hormuz. If the world wants to make the region insecure, we will make the world insecure.'"
"Iran would suffer more than the United States from closing the strait. Iran’s economy is highly dependent on oil exports; closing the strait would cut off most of that trade. Iran wouldn't be able to import gasoline and other necessary commodities, which some analysts think would be fatal to the regime."
"The U.S. military has been training for that eventuality since the 1980s. Contingency plans have been war-gamed repeatedly and are ready to be implemented immediately. The question is not whether the mullahs could attempt to close the strait, but how much of their navy and air force would be lost in the process. Their ships and submarines would be sunk, their on-shore anti-ship missile batteries would be bombed, their aircraft would be downed, and any small craft in the area would have to vacate immediately or face destruction as part of security measures against attacks like that on the USS Cole in 2000. Special-operations forces would seize their offshore oil derricks, and Marine landing forces would temporarily secure the Iranian side of the strait."
More details on this evolving situation can be found HERE .
Editor's Notes:
The material above presents an accurate picture of the strategic situation in the Gulf. What is not mentioned is the simple tactic used by Iran in the 1980's to successfully make trouble for shipping in the Gulf; mines. Lots of mines, easily deployed in front of vessels under way. Even if the shipping lanes are patrolled, it is likely that maritime transportation would come to a standstill due to the threat alone.
We believe the domestic ramifications could be more severe than higher gas prices. Current circumstances make it highly likely that any attempt to hamper shipping in the Gulf could, and most likely would, come as part of a larger kinetic engagement.
Iran has sworn that any attack on their territory would result in terrorist attacks, here in the U.S., by Hezbollah and affiliated organizations.
If there is any doubt about Hezbollah being in this hemisphere, let alone within the U.S., we invite you to dig into the next couple pieces below.
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Alarm Grows in Congress, U.S. Intel, Over Iran's Latin America Threat December 15, 2011
The juicy parts:
"Lawmakers are taking action to thwart Iran’s diplomatic and espionage activities in South America, including partnerships with nations hostile to the U.S. such as Venezuela, which is suspected of helping Tehran plot a cyberattack on America."
"During a state visit to Tehran on July 30, 2006, Venezuela's President Hugo Chavez was awarded the High Medal of the Islamic Republic of Iran."
"Around the time Chavez was in Tehran, a professor at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) began meeting with Iran’s and Venezuela’s ambassadors in Mexico, and computer engineering students and faculty, in a plot to build a cyberweapon aimed at U.S. infrastructure.
"In 2007, ... the students and diplomats discussed how to gain unauthorized access to the U.S. industrial computers in American nuclear facilities."
What you need to know:
In October, the Justice Department charged an American citizen with seeking assistance from the Mexican drug cartel, Los Zetas, in a murder-for-hire plot against the Saudi ambassador to the United States.
In recent years, U.S. intelligence analysts have pointed to regular direct flights between Caracas and Tehran as a troubling development. “We worry about these flights because they are not checked at the airports and often times they have no passengers other than the crew. What is in the cargo?”
Venezuela is key for Iran in Latin America. Hugo Chavez has facilitated relations between Iran and other governments in the region.”
Hezbollah Profits From Cocaine Trade with Mexican "Los Zetas" December 15, 2011
The Zetas, once the enforcer wing of the Gulf Cartel, is now among one of the most violent groups in Mexico, with a growing presence in neighboring Guatemala. Not only are they highly organized, but their use of brutality and shock tactics -- petrol bombs, beheadings, and roadblocks -- has led the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) to describe them as perhaps “the most technologically advanced, sophisticated and violent of these paramilitary enforcement groups."
Japan Tsunami Flotsam Begins Washing Ashore in B.C. December 15, 2011
The juicy parts:
"Bottles, cans and lumber from the tsunami that devastated Japan in March began washing up on British Columbia shores this week, more than a year earlier than oceanographers had initially predicted."
"Winds and currents have carried the items -- emblazoned with Japanese characters -- nearly 21,000 kilometers across the Pacific Ocean. They began washing up in the Tofino area on Vancouver Island's west coast earlier this week."
"The flotsam now arriving in B.C. heralds a much larger cluster of debris on its way. Russian sailors have reported spotting a giant floating cluster of material, estimated to be twice the size of Texas, about 2,700 kilometers east of Hawaii. The items include a fishing boat marked 'Fukushima.'"
"He warned cleanup crews and local officials should keep public safety in mind when handling and disposing of large objects, saying it's possible they could still contain radioactive water."
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