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Feb 29, 2020
Threat Journal is a weekly supplement to the AlertsUSA National Threat
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WEEKLY THREAT AND ALERT ROUNDUP
Published Each Saturday Afternoon
 
This scanning electron microscope image shows SARS-CoV-2 (round magenta objects) emerging from the surface of cells cultured in the lab. SARS-CoV-2, also known as 2019-nCoV, is the virus that causes COVID-19. - ALLOW IMAGES

CDC Warns Now is the Time to Prepare for COVID-19

Feb 29, 2020
Between Feb 22-28, the following related Flash SMS
messages were sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

2/28 - State Dept. issues Level 3 (Reconsider Travel) advisory for Italy due to sustained community spread of COVID-19 coronavirus. More via email.

2/28 - House of Reps members being advised to put plans in place for modified office ops in case of widespread COVID-19 infections in U.S. AlertsUSA monitoring..

2/28 - WHO: Assessment of risk of spread and risk of impact of COVID-19 now "VERY HIGH" at global level. Statement made at ongoing daily press briefing.

2/27 - US Central Command suspends leave & liberty for US service members and DoD civilian employees within the CENTCOM AOR to prevent transmission of COVID-19.

2/27 - US Navy orders all ships in the Pacific having visited WESTPAC nations to remain at sea for at least 14 days to monitor for symptoms of COVID-19. Developing..

2/27 - US Embassy Kenya issues security alert warning terrorist groups may be plotting attack against a major hotel in Nairobi. More info via email.

2/26 - State Dept. issues Level 3 Travel Advisory for S. Korea urging reconsideration of travel due to COVID-19 outbreak. See your email for more info.

2/26 - Pres Trump during ongoing press conference: "Every aspect of our society should be prepared," including schools, for the spread of coronavirus "just in case."

2/25 - 23 YO US soldier at Camp Carroll, S. Korea tests positive for COVID-19. KCDC & USFK health officials actively conducting contact tracing. More info via email.

2/25 - CDC formally says now is the time for businesses, hospitals, communities schools & individuals to begin preparing to respond to coronavirus. More via email.

2/24 - CDC issues Level 3 (Avoid Nonessential Travel) Travel Notice for S. Korea warning of widespread, ongoing outbreak of COVID-19 coronavirus. More via email.

2/24 - CDC issues Level 2 (Practice Enhanced Precautions) Travel Notice for Italy due to sustained community transmission of COVID-19 coronavirus. More via email.

2/24 - US Forces Korea raises risk level to "high" for USFK peninsula-wide after dependent living in Daegu tests positive for COVID-19 coronavirus. More via email.

2/23 - US Embassy Italy issues health alert rec avoiding multiple regions due to COVID-19 outbreak. Austria halts all rail service w/ Italy to limit spread. See email.

2/22 - Italian gov announces use of police & military to enforce strict lockdown / quarantine of ~11 municipalities w confirmed COVID-19 cases. Developing situation.

2/22 - State Dept issues Level 2 (Exercise Increased Caution) Travel Advisories for Japan and S. Korea due to an outbreak of COVID-19. More via email.

2/22 - CDC issues Level 2 (Practice Enhanced Precautions) Travel Notices for Japan and S. Korea due to sustained community transmission of COVID-19. More via email.

What You Need To Know

On 19 occasions this week AlertsUSA subscribers were notified via SMS messages to their mobile devices regarding safety and security matters. 17 of these alerts dealt with the increasingly dangerous situation with the COVID-19 novel coronavirus.

Most important for this report, in the last 6 days we have seen the US State Department, and separately the CDC, both issue Level 2, then Level 3 travel notices for South Korea, Japan, and Italy, urging American citizens to reconsider travel to these countries due to widespread community transmission of the coronavirus.

State Dept Alerts - South Korea / Japan / Italy

CDC Travel Notices - South Korea / Japan / Italy

On Monday, US Forces Korea raised the risk level to "high" for USFK personnel peninsula-wide, after a US military dependent living in Daegu tested positive. On Tuesday, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified a 23 YO US soldier at based at Camp Carroll, located 20 miles northwest of Daegu, had also tested positive.

On Tuesday, Dr. Nancy Messonnier, Director the CDC's National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, formally stated that now is the time to begin preparing to respond to a coronavirus outbreak here in the U.S..

"I want to recognize that people are concerned about the situation. I would say rightfully so. I am concerned about the situation. CDC is concerned about the situation. But we are putting our concerns to work preparing. And now is the time for businesses, hospitals, communities, schools, and everyday people to begin preparing as well."

On Thursday, U.S. Pacific Fleet commander Adm. John Aquilino directed all vessels visiting nations in the 7th Fleet area of operations “to remain at sea for at least 14 days before pulling into another port in order to monitor sailors for any symptoms" of the coronavirus." Based in Japan, the 7th Fleet is the largest of the Navy’s numbered fleets, with up to 80 warships and submarines operating within an area of responsibility that extends from the International Dateline to the borders of India and Pakistan and south to Antarctica.

Also on Thursday, U.S. Central Command suspended leave & liberty for troops and Defense Department civilian workers within its area of responsibility over fears related to the spread of the coronavirus.

On Friday, the World Health Organization announced it had raised it's assessment of the of risk of spread and risk of impact of coronavirus on a global level from HIGH to "VERY HIGH."

SEPERATE THE SIGNAL FROM THE NOISE

AlertsUSA urges readers try to blank out the dramatic politicization of this crisis and consider all that the U.S. and foreign governments have been doing in response to the spread of the new virus. From locking down nearly 10% of the world's population in areas across Asia and Europe, to banning entry of individuals with a recent travel history to different regions, to keeping ships at sea, to canceling leave & liberty for military service members, to mandatory quarantines, to the shuttering of businesses and manufacturing operations across entire nations, etc... Does anyone really think these global actions are all being done because of something akin to the flu, a case of the sniffles, or to cause a President to stumble?

As with every other nation, while certain aspects of the U.S. government response to this crisis has been fumbled, including the botched development of a reliable test for the virus, much of the response is going right, and there are significant efforts underway, both seen and unseen, in order to protect the homeland and U.S. citizens.

AlertsUSA strongly encourages readers to use use these broader governmental actions, as well as those actions of other nations around the world, as your cue prepare yourself, your family, place of worship and any business interests, for the possibility that the virus has a greater impact here in North America.

OFFICIAL CASE NUMBERS

World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control (U.S.)
Johns Hopkins CSSE (Interactive map updated multiple times daily)

Johns Hopkins CSSE COVID-19 Case Count (Interactive map updated multiple times daily) - ALLOW IMAGES

WHO RISK OF SPREAD & IMPACT ASSESSMENT

China Very High
Regional Level Very High
Global Level Very High

EMERGING DRUG SHORTAGES

About 90% of the active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) used by U.S. companies in drug manufacturing come from China. This includes most of the generics Americans use on a regular basis. Antibiotics and blood pressure meds could be among the most vulnerable in any supply chain disruption. This week, the Food and Drug Administration reported the first shortage of a drug due to the outbreak.

NOW is the time to speak to your doctor and request a multiple-month prescription for any key meds upon which you are dependent (most insurance plans cover up to 3 months). You will end up using it anyhow, so the prudent move would be to assure critical items are on hand.

PANDEMIC PREPAREDNESS RESOURCES

Official Coronavirus Information Pages:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Food and Drug Administration
Public Health Agency of Canada
Infection Prevention and Control Canada
World Health Organization

Official Pandemic Preparedness Guidance:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Department of Homeland Security / Ready.Gov
World Health Organization

Assorted Resources

(While some of the resources below were prepared for pandemic influenza, the broader guidance contain therein is directly applicable to the current coronavirus crisis).

Community Mitigation Guidelines to Prevent Pandemic Influenza
Fundamentals of Emergency Planning for Schools
Healthcare Systems Preparedness for COVID-19
Pub Health Guidance for Community-Level Preparedness & Response (SARS)
Business Pandemic Influenza Planning Checklist
Faith-based & Community Org. Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Checklist
WHO Checklist for Influenza Pandemic Preparedness Planning
Get Your Workplace Ready for Pandemic Flu
Dept of Defense Coronavirus Response Page
DHS Supplemental Instructions For Inbound Flights


View Last Week's Issue


Additional Coronavirus News Items

CDC Coronavirus Face Mask Beard Guide
Schools closed, events canceled at overseas US bases as virus spreads
Coronavirus May Explode in U.S. Overnight Just Like in Italy
Three scenarios if the COVID-19 outbreak gets worse
Coronavirus Precautions: Hundreds In NY Asked To Isolate Themselves
California is monitoring at least 8,400 people for the coronavirus
World harshens its virus response as epidemic worsens by day
Schools shut, travel curbed as world races to fight coronavirus
Deadly virus could infect 80% of Brits and kill 500K in ‘worst case scenario
Covid-19 Infects Iranian Vice President, Kills Iran Ambassador To Vatican
Saudi Arabia suspends entry for Hajj pilgrimage over coronavirus fears
World prepares for coronavirus pandemic; global recession forecast

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


AlertsUSA.com

OTHER SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

2/26 - AlertsUSA monitoring response to mass shooting incident, MolsonCoors campus, Milwaukee, WI. At least 6 casualties. Add'l alerts as warranted.

2/24 - Mercedes station wagon driven into crowd at carnival parade in Volkmarsen, Hessen, Germany. At least 10 injured. Poss deliberate act. AlertsUSA monitoring..

 
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Chinese Shenyang J-31 fighter - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

Feb 29, 2020

China's Military Is Stealing Its Way To Superpower Status

China’s state-run arms industries have acquired know-how by hook and crook, and occasionally churn out weapon systems that are entirely too similar to American designs to be a coincidence.

~ READ MORE HERE ~

Stemming the Flow of Narcotics at the US-Canada Border

In mid-February, the Executive Office of the President and the Office of National Drug Control Policy released the 2020 Northern Border Counternarcotics Strategy.

The 2020 Strategy addresses the issue of smuggling drugs across the United States-Canada border. The Strategy identifies different types of illegal drugs being brought into the United States, as well as the varied means of transportation used by Transnational Criminal Organizations (TCOs). The Strategy alleges that the TCOs are also guilty of exploiting tribal jurisdictions in order to “smuggle illegal drugs such as heroin, fentanyl, methamphetamine, marijuana, MDMA (ecstasy), and cocaine as well as weapons and the illicit proceeds from drug sales between the two countries.”

The Strategy suggests new means of collaborating with the northern ally to protect the American public from an influx of new criminal networks and illicit drugs.

~ READ MORE HERE ~

The Coronavirus, Oil, and Global Supply Chains

As nations prepare for a possible health emergency, world leaders are realizing that the new coronavirus is going to be harder to contain than previously hoped. Mobilization is continuing, and concerns are mounting about both health and economic consequences. Washington, like other global capitals, is starting to worry about the economic effects of the coronavirus.

~ READ MORE HERE ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of Feb 24, 2020  - ALLOW IMAGE8
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
Feb 29, 2020

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of Feb 24, 2020 based on Navy and public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute. In cases where a CSG or ARG is conducting disaggregated operations, the chart reflects the location of the capital ship.


A Navy air-cushioned landing craft exits the well deck of the USS Bataan in the Persian Gulf, Feb. 23, 2020. - ALLOW IMAGES
 
World News Roundup
Feb 29, 2020

Other Developments We Are Following

AMERICAS

US Navy resumes training Saudis after base attack
Man allegedly tried to blow up service member’s vehicle at Pentagon
Top Marine Orders Confederate Paraphernalia to Be Removed from All Bases
Republicans look to drop domestic spying on U.S. phones, texts
U.S. spy agencies monitor coronavirus spread, concerns about India
Protest-hit Chile ponders rewriting Pinochet's constitution
2019 saw violent crackdown on protesters across Americas: Amnesty
Canada to hold talks with indigenous group in bid to end blockades
Canada to stop paying Harry and Meghan's security
Surveillance fight emerges as intelligence flashpoint
Pentagon to Hold Top-Secret Talks Next Week on ‘Sino-Russian Alignment’
Trump administration blacklists Iraqi militia leader
US warns of attack threat against major hotel in Nairobi

EUROPE

Erdogan: Expect 30K Refugees At Europe's Borders Saturday
NATO Has ‘Growing Realization’ About Risks of Using Huawei Gear

Britain confirms new nuclear warhead project after US officials spill the beans
Turkey opens Idlib border and allows Syrian refugees free passage to Europe
Russia announces date for referendum that could extend Putin's rule
Russian broadcasting names of ALL 12.6M Soviet soldiers killed during WW II
Britain says it could walk away from EU talks this summer
UK to withdraw from European arrest warrant
Greek islanders assail riot police in protests over migrant camps.
Russia's Military Rolls Out New 'Cruise Missile Killer' Weapons System

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Sanders says may relocate US embassy back to Tel Aviv if elected
US says it killed terrorist who planned attack that killed Americans in Kenya
Turkish army retaliates against 'all known' Syrian government targets
Pentagon dismisses Syria re-engagement amid Idlib showdown
Attack in Syria's Idlib killed 33 Turkish soldiers: Hatay governor
African Union to deploy 3,000 troops in restive Sahel region
Rocket fire hits Libyan capital's airport
Congo latest victim of locust swarms: experts
Europe, China and Russia urge preservation of Iran nuclear deal
Iraq’s Sadr warns to unleash Mehdi Army
Iran's Coronavirus Disaster Will Spread

ASIA

China’s missile force is growing at an unprecedented rate
Duterte says Philippines can survive without American military help
How Vietnam is using fishing trawlers to keep an eye on China’s military
China expels three Wall Street Journal reporters over ‘racist’ commentary
Uncertainty looms ahead of US-Taliban deal signing
Cheney, House Republicans express 'serious concerns' with US-Taliban deal
U.S., South Korea diplomats discussed North Korea, report says
ISIS loses more than half its fighters from airstrikes and Taliban ground ops
US forces in Afghanistan strike ISIS during partial truce with Taliban


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Travel Security

Department of State Seal - ALLOW IMAGES

The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to do a little research on the security situation at your destination well prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution


Active USGOV Travel Advisories
Alphabetical Country List
Dynamic Map



Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

Overseas Security Advisory Council Logo - ALLOW IMAGES

The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

CDC Logo - ALLOW IMAGES

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

Canadian Flag - ALLOW IMAGES  

Australian Flag - ALLOW IMAGES  

UK Flag - ALLOW IMAGES  


Take Advantage of These Resources

Our social media channels provide a steady steam of important news and resources between issues of Threat Journal with little or no overlap of content. Combined with the AlertsUSA service for instant mobile notification of the really bad developments, you have an unmatched set of tools to keep yourself fully up to speed on the nation's threat environment. With times getting worse by the day, we urge you to utilize these resources.


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Ezekiel 33:3 - "Then if anyone hears the trumpet but does not heed the warning and the sword comes and takes their life, their blood will be on their own head."