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March 4, 2023
Threat Journal is a weekly supplement to the
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WEEKLY THREAT AND ALERT ROUNDUP
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Hoax Active Shooter Calls at Schools Nationwide - ALLOW IMAGES

Hoax Active Shooter Calls at Schools Nationwide

March 4, 2023
On March 1, the following related Flash SMS
message was sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

3/1 - Large wave of hoax 911 calls reporting active shooters in K-12 schools across multiple states including KS, MN, & OH. Caution and vigilance urged. See email.

 
What You Need To Know

On Wednesday, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified of another large wave of hoax 911 calls reporting active shooter incidents in K-12 schools across multiple states, including KS, NE, SD, ND, OH and DE.

Similar to our report on this topic 5 months ago, the calls are coordinated, grouped state-by-state and district-by-district, and they're ongoing. According to a report by the National Association of School Resource Officers, swatting calls have been received across 40 states.

The hoax calls are referred to as "swatting." The term denotes calls that falsely report an act of violence in progress or about to occur. In each instance, the resulting tactical law enforcement response must be treated as real and has sometimes ended tragically, though not in a school setting. That said, less than one month ago, police in Saginaw Township, MI police responded to a swatting call at a local school and forced entry into the building by ramming a police cruiser through the locked front doors.

Perhaps most curious are reports from authorities in several states saying many of the calls are originating from overseas using voice over IP technology similar to Skype or Vonage. The region from which the calls are being consistently traced is the Middle East and North Africa. It is believed that the campaigns are coordinated by a group of foreign actors and "swat-for-hire cybercriminals" who carry out hoax emergency calls in exchange for payment.

Readers are reminded that while certain incident types and tactics have received more media coverage than others, swatting scenarios have included bomb threats, active shooter reports, threats of an imminent shooting rampage, hostage scenarios, and threats involving chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosive (CBRNE) materials (PDF).

What remains the big unknown is the motive with the current multi-state wave of calls. Is the goal simply to spread fear, or perhaps an effort to gauge response times and tactics? Or perhaps to divert resources and focus law enforcement’s attention away from certain areas in a coordinated manner?

AlertsUSA urges continued caution, vigilance, and diligence on the part of teachers, administrators and other school employees.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


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SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

3/2 - M6.8 earthquake, 95 km W of Luganville, Vanuatu (S. Pacific). AlertsUSA monitoring for tsunami warnings. Add'l alerts as warranted.

2/27 - State Dept issues Travel Advisory for Israel, the West Bank and Gaza due to threat of terrorism and civil unrest. Caution and vigilance urged. More via email.

2/25 - M6.5 earthquake, 58 km SE of Kandrian, Papua New Guinea. AlertsUSA monitoring for tsunami warnings. Add'l alerts as warranted.

 
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A Russian T-72B tank destroyed by the Armed Forces of Ukraine has been put on display in front of Cathedral Square in Vilnius, Lithuania. Image: Ministry of National Defense of Lithuania - ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine War Update+

March 3, 2023
What You Need To Know

According to the Institute for the Study of War:

Ukrainian forces appear to be setting conditions for a controlled fighting withdrawal from parts of Bakhmut.

Russian officials continued to release limited information about the March 2 incursion in Bryansk Oblast but failed to provide clarity about what actually transpired.

Russian President Vladimir Putin did not address the reported situation in Bryansk Oblast in an emergency meeting with the Russian Security Council according to the meeting’s readout.

Russian authorities continued efforts to portray Russia as the only safe operator of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP), likely to constrain the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) presence at the ZNPP and compel the de facto recognition of Russian ownership of the ZNPP.

Russian forces continued offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.

Russian forces continued ground attacks along the Donetsk Oblast front line as Ukrainian forces appeared to prepare for a controlled withdrawal from at least parts of Bakhmut.

The Kremlin continues efforts to increase government oversight of the Russian defense industrial base (DIB).

Russian occupation authorities continue to prepare occupied territories for the September 10 Russian regional elections.

According to the UK Ministry of Defence:

Despite the war in Ukraine, Russian defence companies continue to showcase their products at major international arms fairs.

The Arena-E active protection system (APS), designed to improve the survivability of armoured vehicles, was displayed at a recent event. Its promotional literature states that it ‘defeats the threats that are most dangerous for armoured vehicles…if you value your armour and crews you need Arena-E’.

There has been no evidence of Arena-E systems being installed on Russia’s own vehicles in Ukraine, where it has lost over 5,000 armoured vehicles. This is likely due to Russian industry’s inability to manufacture high-tech systems at scale; a problem which is exacerbated by the effect of international sanctions.

Ukraine conflict map as of March 4, 2023. Image: @war_mapper with permission. - ALLOW IMAGES

Ukrainian Innovation in a War of Attrition - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

March 4, 2023

Ukrainian Innovation in a War of Attrition

Russia suffered more combat deaths in Ukraine in the first year of the war than in all of its wars since World War II combined, according to a new CSIS analysis of the force disposition and military operations of Russian and Ukrainian units. The average rate of Russian soldiers killed per month is at least 25 times the number killed per month in Chechnya and 35 times the number killed in Afghanistan, which highlight the stark realities of a war of attrition. The Ukrainian military has also performed remarkably well against a much larger and initially better-equipped Russian military, in part due to the innovation of its forces.

~ READ MORE HERE (Center for Strategic & Int'l Studies) ~

Where Have All the Unaccompanied Alien Children Gone?

The Executive Office for Immigration Review (EOIR) — the DOJ component with jurisdiction over the immigration courts and the Board of Immigration Appeals — publishes very useful statistics. One page on EOIR’s site shows that there were just over 82,000 cases involving unaccompanied alien children (UACs) pending before the immigration courts at the end of FY 2022 — a year in which CBP encountered more than 152,000 UACs at the Southwest border. Where have all the UACs gone, and as importantly, why did immigration judges dismiss 15,000-plus cases involving UACs last year? If Congress wants to protect those kids, it needs to get answers to those questions.

~ READ MORE HERE (Center for Immigration Studies) ~

Consequences of the War in Ukraine: A Bleak Outlook for Russia

Whatever may happen in Ukraine or in Russia, things will never be the same. Russian military success will not likely end sanctions which have been far more effective than those imposed following the 2014 invasion of Crimea. A Russian failure in Ukraine could lead to escalation and a world-changing wider war, or it could lead to dramatic changes within Russia.

Either outcome would make for a very different world.

~ READ MORE HERE (RAND) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of February 27, 2023.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
February 27, 2023

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of February 27, 2023 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting.


An Air Force F/A-18E Super Hornet and two Greek F-16s fly over Greece, Feb. 22, 2023, during combined long range strike training in Greece. Image: DoD
 
World News Roundup
March 4, 2023

AMERICAS

Pentagon developed contingency plan for war with Iran
PA man arrested after allegedly trying to bring explosives (firework) on flight
Argentina to renew push for sovereignty over Falkland Islands
Colombia protests: Seventy-nine police officers taken hostage
Lockheed Martin profits more from war than any other company on earth
Ecuador legislative commission backs impeachment process against Lasso
Argentina's power largely restored after fire hits national grid
In Mexico, a state votes to toughen laws against femicides, acid attacks
Allegations prompt calls for inquiry on Chinese influence on Canadian elections

EUROPE

Ex-Russian president names ‘red line’ for direct war with NATO
Putin accuses Ukraine of border 'terrorist act' in Russian village
German defence minister says his country cannot protect itself in war
Chancellor Scholz warns China: Don't send weapons to Russian 'aggressor'
Kupiansk: Ukraine orders people to leave city liberated last year
Ukraine weapons: Promises vs deliveries—who is most behind?
Russia set to mothball damaged Nord Stream gas pipelines
Ukraine is using guided rockets with more range than HIMARS-launched ones
EU mulls billions in funding to quicken artillery shell production
UK disappointed as Argentina withdraws from Falklands pact
Russian strike on Zaporizhzhia kills at least three people
Greek protesters clash with police after train crash

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Iran president blames foreign enemies for wave of schoolgirl poisonings
US donates over 60 tons of weaponry to Somalia for fight against militants
U.S. commandos advise Somalis in fight against al Qaeda branch
Burkina scraps 1961 military aid pact with France
210 civilians killed in 24 days of Somaliland clashes
Macron says era of French interference in Africa is 'over'
State Dept issues travel advisory for Israel, the West Bank and Gaza
Lebanon's foreign backers say 'unsustainable' status quo is paralysing state
UN slams deployment of South Sudan troops in disputed region
Nigeria's Supreme Court rules CBN currency redesign invalid

ASIA

Blinken offers to help jittery Central Asia reduce reliance on Russia
Taiwan's to get a $619 million U.S. arms boost as China keeps up pressure
Taiwan wary of China charm offensive ahead of presidential vote
India revives civil militia after Hindu killings in Kashmir
Rights groups condemn Cambodia opposition leader's 27-year sentence
Hong Kong probes the cause of massive blaze in shopping district
Over 26,000 evacuated as floods hit Malaysia again; 1 dead
Crisis-hit Sri Lanka's public workers protest power tariff, tax hikes
Myanmar military has caused 'perpetual human rights crisis', UN report says
India's wheat output dented by heatwave, could limit government stock building

PUBLIC HEALTH

Worldwide COVID litigation lawyer directory taking shape
Philippines court issues int'l arrest warrant for Bill Gates over vax rollout
Today sea lions are dying - Tomorrow it may be us
Bald eagles hit hard by H5N1 avian flu outbreak
Peru confirms H5N1 avian flu in marine mammals, part of southward spread
Remember the name of this generic antiviral drug. You will see it again...


Peak Prosperity with Dr. Chris Martenson.

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Travel Security Resources

With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research the security situation at your destination prior to booking, and again prior to departure.

The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide.

Active USGOV Travel Notices

Active USGOV Travel Advisories

Other USGOV Travel Resources

Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) - Registering your overseas trip with the Department of State STEP program allows you to receive information from the Embassy about safety conditions in your destination country, helping you make informed decisions about your travel plans.

Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) - Joining OSAC provides a variety of USGOV resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) - The CDC travel website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

See what other governments are telling their own citizens about the safety and security aspects of your destination.



Take Advantage of These Resources

Our social media channels provide a steady steam of important news and resources between issues of Threat Journal with little or no overlap of content. Combined with the AlertsUSA service for instant mobile notification of the really bad developments, you have an unmatched set of tools to keep yourself fully up to speed on the nation's threat environment. With times getting worse by the day, we urge you to utilize these resources.


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