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May 10, 2025
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WEEKLY THREAT AND ALERT ROUNDUP
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India and Pakistan Moving Closer to Full War - ALLOW IMAGES

India and Pakistan Moving Closer to Full War
Concerns Grow Over New Wave of Terror

May 10, 2025

Between May 6-8, the following related Flash SMS
messages were
sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

5/6 - India launches missile attack on multiple targets in Pakistan and Pak-controlled Kashmir. Caution urged in the region. US embassy security messages forthcoming.

5/7 - US Embassy Pakistan issues security alert re military strikes by India and closure of airspace. Urges caution, low profile, and departure from conflict areas.

5/8 - US Embassy India issues security alert warning US citizens against travel to the union territory of Jammu and Kashmir due to military ops. More via email.

 
What You Need To Know

Just two weeks ago, AlertsUSA Threat Journal reported on a horrific Islamist terror attack on a group of mostly Hindu tourists in the Indian-administered area of Jammu and Kashmir in the north of the country. 26 were killed and 17 injured. In the time since, India’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and various security agencies, including the National Investigation Agency, have alleged that the attack was orchestrated by Pakistan-based militants operating under the name "The Resistance Front", which is widely believed to be a rebranding of Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), a UN-proscribed terrorist group.

India also claims the attack was directed by senior operatives of Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence agency (ISI). Naturally, Pakistan has denied any involvement.

On Tuesday, AlertsUSA subscribers were some of the first in the U.S. to learn that India had launched missile strikes on both Pakistan and Pakistan--administered Kashmir in retaliation for the April 22nd attacks. Known as Operation Sindoor, the strikes targeted nine terror-related sites and were carried out using French-made Indian Air Force Rafael fighter jets equipped with SCALP cruise missiles and hammer glide bombs. In response, Pakistan engaged the Indian aircraft, leading to a major air battle.

According to a report by Reuters, Pakistan's Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets shot down at least two of the Indian military aircraft on Wednesday. Pakistan’s prime minister, Shehbaz Shareef, and the Pak military, claim to have shot down five Indian aircraft.

Ishaq Dar, Pakistan's foreign minister, stated the downed aircraft included three Refaels, one Su-30 MKI, one MiG-29, and approximately two dozen Indian drones.

AlertsUSA subscribers were also notified of US Embassy security messages this week from missions in both India and Pakistan (see the alert list above) warning of the hostilities and urging U.S. citizens to avoid all travel to the troubled regions, and if already there, to get out if possible.

As of the time of this report's preparation Friday evening, are on the brink of a serious conflict, with strikes being carried out by both sides

As of the time of this report's preparation Friday evening, the conflict has been intensifying, with both the two nuclear-armed nations hammering each other's military positions, including air bases and radar installations, along the entire common border. Thus far, there have been no major ground maneuvers.

Late Update: Has the US negotiated a ceasefire?

RELATED NEWS:

Pakistan PM calls meeting of body that oversees nuclear arsenal
How China helped Pakistan shoot down Indian fighter jets

RISING TERROR THREAT

In addition to the expansion of the conflict, there is significant concern that the April incident was the start of a new wave of terror attacks. Security has been increasing in major metro areas across the country. The capital of New Delhi is on high alert and fortifying itself. Paramilitary forces have been deployed at markets, metro station, airports, monuments, several of the large hotels, and residential colonies, and the national disaster apparatus has been mobilized. Police checks at key points in the city have been intensified, and all vehicles heading into the national capital are being screened.

In addition, security at major airports across India has also been increased.

MUMBAI 2008

Readers are reminded that in 2008, the coastal city of Mumbai was the site of a brutal 4-day-long string of attacks carried out by the same terror group, Lashkar-e-Taiba. In this incident, 10 members of LeT carried out 12 coordinated shooting and bombing attacks across the city, targeting high-profile locations in South Mumbai, including the iconic Taj Mahal Palace Hotel and the Victoria Train Terminus. The attacks resulted in 175 deaths (including 9 of the attackers), and more than 300 injured. Six Americans were among the dead.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the national and international threat environment and will immediately notify service subscribers of any new alerts, warnings, or advisories impacting the overall threat picture for American citizens, as events warrant.


AlertsUSA

SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

5/6 - Antifa / pro-Palestinian protesters clash with police, occupy engineering bldg on campus of University of Washington, Seattle. Avoid the campus. Monitoring..

5/6 - US Embassy Honduras issues security alert warning of a mass shooting threat on 5/6 and 5/16. Targets incl a Christian school, civic center, and mall. See email.

5/9 - US Embassy Ukraine issues security alert warning of "potentially significant air attack" in the coming days. Urges readiness to immediately shelter. See email.

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A Snapshot of New Activity at Cuban Spy Sites- ALLOW IMAGES
Commentary / Analysis / Research
May 10, 2025

A Snapshot of New Activity at Cuban Spy Sites

Recent commercial satellite imagery shows new construction underway at a known Cuban signals intelligence (SIGINT) site near Havana, long rumored to have ties to China. The addition of what appears to be a circularly disposed antenna array (CDAA) at Bejucal would expand the site’s capabilities to spy on the United States and other countries in the region.

Satellite imagery of another key Cuban site shows a halt in construction, raising new questions about the scope and direction of Cuba’s SIGINT efforts—and their possible connection to China.

~ READ MORE HERE (CSIS) ~

~ RELATED CONGRESSIONAL TESTIMONY & WITNESS DOCS ~

Crucibles, Not Comfort, Shape Future Military Leaders

The U.S. military has overcorrected. Across talent management systems, performance evaluations, and even professional military education, it has embraced a well-intentioned shift toward empathetic leadership and psychological safety, removing friction from the learning environment and replacing it with comfort. In the process, the military has sidelined one of its most essential developmental forces: the crucible.

~ READ MORE HERE (War on the Rocks) ~

Water Scarcity Is a Boom For Mexican Organized Crime

Authorities in the Mexican state of Michoacán are employing satellite technology to counter water theft, spotlighting the growing threat posed by criminal groups exploiting an increasingly scarce and valuable natural resource.

~ READ MORE HERE (Insight Crime) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of May 5, 2025.  - ALLOW IMAGES
U.S. Navy Fleet and Marine Tracker
As of May 5, 2025

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of May 5, 2025 based on U.S. Navy briefings, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting.


Veterans Crisis Line - ALLOW IMAGES

Sailors aboard the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Curtis Wilbur (DDG 54) conduct flight operations in the South China Sea, May 6, 2025. Image: DoD - ALLOW IMAGES
World News Roundup
May 10, 2025

PUBLIC HEALTH

NIH, CMS partner to study autism via Medicare and Medicaid data
FDA approves three food colors from natural sources, more in the pipeline
FDA to ramp up unannounced inspections at foreign facilities

AMERICAS

Trump admin “actively looking at” suspending habeas corpus for migrants
Al-Qaeda-linked group opens U.S. HQ in Garland, TX
Controller warns major airport unsafe for travel: ‘Avoid Newark at all costs’
FAA increasing staffing at ATC center to ease Newark airport delays
FEMA acting administrator canned day after congressional testimony
Newark air traffic control lost contact with pilots at least twice before
ICE doing their job has [foreign national] travelers ‘freaked out’
Dozens arrested at pro-Palestinian US campus protest
Suspect in Lady Gaga concert plot recently deported from the US
Fentanyl seizures plummet while cocaine hauls reach 17-month high
Sentinel nuclear missiles will need new silos, Air Force says
Thousands march in Panama to oppose U.S. troop deal and mine project
Guatemalan AG accuses indigenous leaders of terrorism
Russia promises to invest $1 billion in ally Cuba by 2030
‘Blood timber’: western firms fuel conflict and ‘slavery’ in Colombia
Honduras probes mass shooting threats flagged by US embassy

EUROPE

Vance in Munich: ‘It’s not Europe bad, America good
Putin leads Victory Day celebration in Moscow under tight security
Norway seeks deeper security ties with Europe, says US relations uncertain
Antisemitic incidents surge across Europe and the world
Iranian terror suspects ‘targeted Israeli embassy in London’
Spain’s deputy PM targeted by man ‘with two knives’ in daylight attack
EU proposes ending all Russian gas imports by 2027
Putin and Maduro sign strategic partnership agreement in Moscow
Ukraine drone attacks briefly shut down Moscow’s international airports
Chinese cyber menace exceeds threat from Russia, Dutch spy chief warns
Riots rock Brussels as mayor condemns Bruges hooligans

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Israel may seize all Gaza in expanded operation, officials say
Israel approves 'conquering Gaza, holding territories'
Israel strikes south Lebanon, Aoun holds urgent talks
US adding infrastructure, security at Somalia airfield targeted by al-Shabab
Minerals, mobile phones and militias: how war unfolded in DRC
China on African charm offensive to rally opposition to ‘bullying’ US
Sudan cuts ties with UAE over alleged paramilitary support
Total blackout after drone strikes, fire in city of Port Sudan
Massive dust storm hits Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Jordan
Tunisia puts more opposition figures on mass trial

ASIA / OCEANIA

The Pentagon fixates on war over Taiwan
China at a ‘rapid boil’ for military action, admiral warns
Stealth bomber returns from Diego Garcia amid nuclear talks
US special operators due for changes in doctrine and tactical units
Taiwan bolstering cybersecurity infrastructure against Chinese hackers
US ability to defeat China in Taiwan threatened, top commander warns
US officials to meet Chinese counterparts in Switzerland amid trade war
China sends a stern video message to Trump: We won’t ‘kneel down’
Japanese shipyard completes first overhaul of an American warship
S. Korea says the North fired several missiles toward its eastern waters
Man with a knife slashes 2 people at a Tokyo subway station

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Travel Security Resources

With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research the security situation at your destination prior to booking, and again prior to departure.

The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide.

Active USGOV Travel Advisories

Other USGOV Travel Resources

Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) - Registering your overseas trip with the Department of State STEP program allows you to receive information from the Embassy about safety conditions in your destination country, helping you make informed decisions about your travel plans.

Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) - Joining OSAC provides a variety of USGOV resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) - The CDC travel website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

See what other governments are telling their own citizens about the safety and security aspects of your destination.



Take Advantage of These Resources

Our social media channels provide a steady steam of important news and resources between issues of Threat Journal with little or no overlap of content. Combined with the AlertsUSA service for instant mobile notification of the really bad developments, you have an unmatched set of tools to keep yourself fully up to speed on the nation's threat environment. With times getting worse by the day, we urge you to utilize these resources.


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