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June 4, 2022
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Ukrainian Armed Forces T-84U tank firing on Russian position.- ALLOW IMAGES

NATO: Ukraine Conflict Now A War of Attrition

June 4, 2022
What You Need To Know

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg was in Washington this week for meetings with President Biden and National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan. Stoltenberg warned on Thursday that the conflict in Ukraine had transformed into a “war of attrition,” and highlighted the importance of continued American and European arms shipments to Kyiv.

“Therefore, we just have to be prepared for the long haul, because what we see is that this war has now become a war of attrition, where the Ukrainians are paying a high price for defending their own country … but also where we see that Russia is taking high casualties.”

The war most likely will end at the negotiating table, Stoltenberg said, adding that what happens during talks is very closely linked to the situation on the ground, on the battlefield.

Asked if Ukraine is being pressured by the West to accept losses of territory in order to negotiate peace, Stoltenberg said "it's not for us to decide” what Ukraine should accept or refuse.

HIMARS

The M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) is a light multiple rocket launcher developed in the late 1990s for the United States Army. - ALLOW IMAGES

HIMARS systems being offloaded from a transport ship in Romania. - ALLOW IMAGES

This week the Biden Administration confirmed that within the latest traunch of military aid for Ukraine will be four M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System, also known as HIMARS. This is a light wheeled, medium-range multiple rocket launcher that will help Ukrainian forces take out key positions much deeper into Russian-occupied territory.

According to Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl, the HIMARS system was Ukraine's "top priority" request from the U.S. as it would provide the country’s forces with greater range and precision than any of artillery previously sent.

“I think we’re not we’re not seeing the Ukrainian defenses buckle, they’re hanging on,” he said. “But it is a grinding fight, and we believe that these additional capabilities will arrive in a timeframe that’s relevant and allow the Ukrainians to very precisely target the types of things they need for the current fight.”

Kahl goes onto say that the HIMARS will greater standoff. "Right now, the howitzers we provided them have about a 30 km range; the HIMARS have more than twice that."

Kahl added that the White House has obtained a formal commitment from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to use the system only for defensive purposes and avoid firing missiles into Russian territory, even if such a strike would be considered in defense of their nation.

Nuclear Envoys Meet in S. Korea

Top nuclear envoys of South Korea, the United States and Japan met for the first time Friday since President Yoon took office last month amid growing nuclear and missile threats from North Korea.

Speaking to reporters before their meeting, the senior diplomats all underscored the importance of a "firm and united" response to Kim's actions.

Sung Kim, the U.S. special representative for North Korea, said that U.S. intelligence believes that the North is preparing its Punggye-ri test site for what would be its seventh nuclear test.

"This assessment is consistent with the DPRK's own recent public statements. We are preparing for all contingencies in close coordination with our Japanese and ROK allies. Furthermore, we are prepared to make both short and longer term adjustments to our military posture as appropriate in responding to any DPRK provocation and as necessary to strengthen both defense and deterrence to protect our allies in the region."

N. Korea Heads UN Conference on Disarmament

One day prior to this meeting of the nuclear envoys, North Korea was given temporary control over the Geneva-based Conference on Disarmament. The appointment comes despite the hermit nation threatening the West and its regional neighbors with a series of banned ICBM tests over the last few months.

Around 50 countries have voiced their outrage, many during their Thursday meeting at the UN's European headquarters in Geneva. In Washington, State Department spokesman Ned Price said that North Korea’s role called the body’s utility into doubt.

“It certainly does call that into question when you have a regime like the DPRK in a senior leadership post, a regime that has done as much as any other government around the world to erode the non-proliferation norm.”

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


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SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

5/23 - AlertsUSA monitoring response to reports of shots fired, Marine Corps Air Ground Combat Ctr, Twentynine Palms, CA. Base locked down. Addl alerts as warranted.

5/24 - AlertsUSA monitoring response to school shooting, Robb Elementary, Uvalde, TX (85 mi west of San Antonio). Multiple injuries. Active scene. Avoid the area.

5/24 - TX Governor Greg Abbott: 14 students and 1 teacher were killed in the mass shooting at Robb Elementary school in Uvalde, Texas. Shooter deceased.

5/31 - At least 3 people have been shot on the campus of Xavier University, New Orleans, LA. Incident occurred near Convocation Center. Suspect detained. Monitoring..

6/2 - At least 5 persons shot during funeral service, Graceland Cemetery, Racine, WI. Active scene. Police urge public to avoid the area. Add'l alerts as warranted.

6/3 - DHS/CISA issue advisory detailing vulnerabilities affecting voting machines from a leading manufacturer which are used in at least 15 states. More via email.

6/3 - AlertsUSA monitoring response to mass stabbing incident, Encino Hospital Medical Ctr, Los Angeles, CA. Multiple victims. Suspect barricaded inside. Monitoring.

 
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Ukranian guard scans approach to border crossing.

Ukraine War Update

June 4, 2022
What You Need To Know

According to the UK Ministry of Defense:

Friday, June 3, marked the 100th day since the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Russian forces failed to achieve their initial objectives to seize Kyiv and Ukrainian centers of government. Staunch Ukrainian resistance and the failure to secure Hostomel airfield in the first 24 hours led to Russian offensive operations being repulsed. Following the failure of the initial plan, through false planning assumptions and poor tactical execution, Russia adapted its operational design to focus on the Donbas.

Russia is now achieving tactical success in the Donbas. Russian forces have generated and maintained momentum and currently appear to hold the initiative over Ukrainian opposition. Russia controls over 90% of Luhansk Oblast and is likely to complete control in the next two weeks. Russia has achieved these recent tactical successes at significant resource cost, and by concentrating force and fires on a single part of the overall campaign. Russia has not been able to generate manoeuvre or movement on other fronts or axes, all of which have transitioned to the defensive.

Measured against Russia’s original plan, none of the strategic objectives have been achieved. In order for Russia to achieve any form of success will require continued huge investment of manpower and equipment, and is likely to take considerable further time.

Conflict map for June 3, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES

The B-2 Spirit is a multi-role bomber capable of delivering both conventional and nuclear munitions. A dramatic leap forward in technology, the bomber represents a major milestone in the U.S. bomber modernization program. The B-2 brings massive firepower to bear, in a short time, anywhere on the globe through previously impenetrable defenses. (U.S. Air Force photo by Bobbie Garcia) - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

June 4, 2022

Turkey, Terrorists and NATO

Turkey is reportedly on the verge of yet another military incursion into Syria, even as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is blocking Sweden and Finland from NATO membership, referring to Kurdish politicians, political activists and refugees who live in Sweden and Finland as "terrorists." Meanwhile, Erdogan's regime does not see actual jihadists in the region as terrorists and even actively supports them. Media outlets have documented evidence of the Turkish government's close relationship with ISIS.

~ READ MORE HERE (Gatestone Institute) ~

Vladimir Putin Was Treated For ‘Advanced Cancer’

The U.S. intelligence community has spoken: Russian President Vladimir Putin was recently treated for “advanced cancer”. Inasmuch as America’s spies correctly predicted Russia’s war against Ukraine, there is no reason to disbelieve this assessment.

What Putin’s illness means is another matter.

~ READ MORE HERE (1945) ~

Time to Slow Cook China’s South China Sea Frog?

Since the 1992 departure of U.S. forces from bases in the Philippines, Chinese encroachment and provocations in the South China Sea have increased continuously.

The lack of U.S. strategic attention and sustained naval presence has opened a maritime governance vacancy that the Chinese Communist Party and its military have gradually filled. Left unchecked, the situation imperils U.S. alliances and trade that have undergirded decades of American prosperity and security.

~ READ MORE HERE (Heritage Foundation) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of June 2, 2022.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
June 4, 2022

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of June 2, 2022 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting. In cases where a CSG or ARG is conducting disaggregated operations, the chart reflects the location of the capital ship.


An air-cushioned landing craft performs ship-to-shore maneuvers near the amphibious assault ship USS Kearsarge in the Baltic Sea, May 20, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES
 
World News Roundup
June 4, 2022

AMERICAS

US military hackers conducting offensive operations in support of Ukraine
Putin’s invasion of Ukraine forces Biden to rewrite US security plan
U.S. plans to sell Ukraine armed MQ-1C Gray Eagle drones
Cyber agency: Voting software vulnerable in some states
DHS ‘concerned’ over Nazis returning to US after fighting in Ukraine
US to be joined by other Quad members, S. China Sea nations for Rimpac
Pentagon vs. Congress tension builds over monitoring billions in Ukraine aid
Ottawa will not ease Russian fertilizer tariff
Dubuque man charged with threat of terrorism after social media post
Adm. Linda Fagan becomes 27th Coast Guard Commandant
Man posed as a federal agent for attention on TikTok, feds say

EUROPE

Zelensky: 60-100 Ukrainian soldiers killed per day, 500 wounded
Zelenskyy: 20% of Ukraine now under Russian control
Kremlin: Biden 'diligently adding fuel to the fire' by sending rocket systems
Russia holds nuclear drills as Biden sends rockets to Ukraine
Putin says US decision to print money is behind soaring food prices
Putin treated for cancer in April, U.S. intelligence report says
Vladimir Putin has cancer and likely survived assassination attempt
Russia cuts off Denmark's gas – the 5th European country
Cracks appear in western front against Russia's war in Ukraine
Greek forces on high alert over crisis with Turkey
Private military firms see demand in Ukraine war
Ukraine war: How long can the Western consensus hold?
'They are carpet-bombing us': Ukrainian troops are getting pounded
Can the West continue arming Ukraine at the current rate?
British Town of 700 people to receive 1500 African illegals…

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

U.S. reinserts troops in Somalia after long-awaited elections are completed
AU head tells Putin Africans are 'victims' of Ukraine conflict
African Union head 'reassured' after talks with Putin on food shortages
U.S. reinserts troops in Somalia after long-awaited elections are completed
Biden and Saudi crown prince planning to meet later this month
Israeli Air Force simulates widescale strike on Iran nuclear facilities
Israel simulates massive strike against Iran with hundreds of IDF aircraft
Yemen's warring parties renew two-month truce: UN
OPEC+ raises output as Russia’s war roils global energy markets
Turkey's Erdogan halts talks with Greece as tensions flare again
Pfizer admits it will never manufacture original FDA approved COVID vaccines

ASIA

Canada says Chinese warplanes are buzzing its N. Korea recon flights
China says it conducted 'readiness patrol' around Taiwan
J-20 ‘Mighty Dragon’ – China’s $120M Answer to the F-35 stealth fighter
Chinese aircraft carrier seen with a fleet of drones on its deck
China gears up to launch its third aircraft carrier
China 'firmly' opposes U.S.-Taiwan trade initiative
China urges US to cut military ties with Taiwan after Pentagon chief remarks
China plots fresh military exercises in S. China sea
North Korea’s Kim Jong Un congratulates Queen Elizabeth II
North Korea’s Covid outbreak likely ‘getting worse’, WHO says
Taiwan says 30 Chinese planes entered its air defense identification zone
What the restarting of North Korea’s Yongbyon Reactor means
US to seek new UN sanctions if North Korea holds nuke test
Afghan Taliban launch campaign to eradicate poppy crop


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Travel Security Resources

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The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research on the security situation at your destination prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution


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Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

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The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

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The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

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