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June 25, 2022
Threat Journal is a weekly supplement to the
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DHS Warns of Extremist Violence Over Abortion Ruling

June 25, 2022
On June 24th, the following related Flash SMS
messages were sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

6/24 - Washington, DC businesses boarding up in advance of "Night of Rage" threatened by pro-abortion groups. Pro-life orgs and houses of worship on alert nationwide.

6/24 - SCOTUS releases opinion overturning right to abortions. Growing protests on Capitol Hill. Churches & pro-life orgs on alert for violence. AlertsUSA monitoring..

What You Need To Know

Twice this week AlertsUSA subscribers were notified via SMS messages regarding protests anticipated in response to the release of the U.S. Supreme Court decision overturning federal abortion protections.

On Friday, the Dept of Homeland Security issued an update Intelligence Brief to law enforcement nationwide warning that domestic violent extremists (DVEs) will "likely exploit the recent US Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe V. Wade to intensify violence against a wide range of targets."

DHS assesses these targets to include federal and state government officials, including judges, federal facilities, reproductive and family advocacy healthcare facilities, as well as houses of worship and other religious institutions connected to pro-life movements.

Readers are reminded that just three weeks ago, the DHS issued a new National Terrorism Advisory System Bulletin warning of the dynamic and complex nature of the threat environment facing the U.S. from domestic extremists of various types, and how several high-profile events could be exploited by them to justify acts of violence.

In addition, the bulletin warns that foreign adversaries, including terrorist organizations and nation state adversaries, also remain intent on exploiting the threat environment to promote or inspire violence, sow discord, or undermine U.S. democratic institutions. DHS continues to assess that the primary threat of mass casualty violence in the United States stems from lone offenders and small groups motivated by a range of ideological beliefs and/or personal grievances.

AlertsUSA urges caution and vigilance when out and about. Monitor local news and increase your situational awareness when in crowded public spaces.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


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Click to Enlarge - Pinned map of the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad.  - ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine War Update+

As of June 24, 2022
What You Need To Know

Tensions are increasing between Lithuania and Russia after the small Baltic nation began to enforce EU sanctions and ban the transit of coal, metals, construction materials, and other restricted items... by land through Lithuanian territory... to the isolated exclave of Kaliningrad.

While Kaliningrad is wedged between Poland and Lithuania, it is strategically vital territory as it provides Russia it's only Baltic Sea coastline. It is also home to the Russian military's Baltic Fleet, as well as advanced nuclear-capable Iskander missile installations.

While Russia can still supply Kaliningrad by sea, it is hard to imagine any great power accepting a blockade of part of its territory. In this case, Lithuania is a sovereign country, has the right to control what comes across its borders, and is a member of NATO.

And In Ukraine...

Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksiy Reznikov said on Thursday that the long-range High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, or (HIMARS) from the U.S. are now in the country.

Also this week, Ukrainian forces reported that the pilot of a Russian Su-25 FROGFOOT ground attack aircraft shot down on 17 June has confessed to being a former Russian air force Major, who had taken employment as a military contractor and had flown several missions during the conflict.

British intelligence assesses that the use of retired personnel, working as Wagner contractors, to conduct close air support missions may indicate the Russian air force is struggling to support the invasion with sufficient aircrews due to a combination of factors, including combat losses.

Click to Enlarge - Conflict map for June 25, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES

Click to Enlarge - Polymer-cased .50-caliber ammunition is seen at Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton, California, Nov. 3, 2021. The polymer-cased ammunition is a new technology that reduces the weight of a 100-round linked belt of .50-caliber ammunition by seven pounds, reducing the weight Marines have to transport. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Cpl. Cameron Hermanet) - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

June 25, 2022

The Return of Industrial Warfare

The war in Ukraine has proven that the age of industrial warfare is still here. The massive consumption of equipment, vehicles and ammunition requires a large-scale industrial base for resupply – quantity still has a quality of its own. The mass scale combat has pitted 250,000 Ukrainian soldiers, together with 450,000 recently mobilized citizen soldiers against about 200,000 Russian and separatist troops.

The effort to arm, feed and supply these armies is a monumental task. Ammunition resupply is particularly onerous. For Ukraine, compounding this task are Russian deep fires capabilities, which target Ukrainian military industry and transportation networks throughout the depth of the country. The Russian army has also suffered from Ukrainian cross-border attacks and acts of sabotage, but at a smaller scale. The rate of ammunition and equipment consumption in Ukraine can only be sustained by a large-scale industrial base.

~ READ MORE HERE (RUSI ) ~

China’s Biomedical Data Hacking Threat

Concerns have developed in recent years about the acquisition of U.S. biomedical information by Chinese individuals and the Chinese government and how this creates security and economic threats to the United States. And yet, China’s illicit acquisition of data is only one aspect of what is required to produce an enhanced science and technology capability that would pose a security threat.

Current assessments fail to account for the heterogeneity of big data and the challenges that any actor (state or nonstate) faces in making sense of this data and using it. In this context, current law enforcement and policies that focus on the Chinese acquisition of biomedical big data should expand to other important aspects of China’s science and technology capabilities, including the country’s ability to interpret, integrate, and use the acquired data for its economic or military benefit. This article provides new socio-technical frameworks that can be used to provide greater insights into Chinese threats involving biomedical big data.

~ READ MORE HERE (Texas National Security Review) ~

Wargaming a Future Conflict over Taiwan

This report outlines findings from a recent strategic-operational wargame exploring a fictional war between China and the United States over Taiwan, set in 2027.

The wargame, hosted by the Gaming Lab at CNAS, in partnership with NBC’s Meet the Press, illuminated the dilemmas that U.S. and Chinese policymakers might face if China were to invade Taiwan, along with the strategies they might adopt to achieve their overarching objectives.

~ READ MORE HERE (CNAS) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of June 23, 2022.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
June 25, 2022

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of June 23, 2022 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting. In cases where a CSG or ARG is conducting disaggregated operations, the chart reflects the location of the capital ship.


Click to Enlarge - The USS Spruance conducts a replenishment with the USS Abraham Lincoln in the Philippine Sea, June 19, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES
 
World News Roundup
June 25, 2022

AMERICAS

'Second pandemic'? Biden alarms Twitter with his cryptic comments
Nova Scotia shooting: Trudeau denies meddling in police probe
Is Kamala Harris planning a coup to oust Biden?
Three dead after fresh Ecuador protest clashes, despite govt concession
Ecuador: President accuses Indigenous protesters of attempted coup
More than 71,000 Ukrainians have arrived in the U.S. since March
DHS announces terror bar exemptions for Afghan evacuees
House appropriators move to extend Title 42 through DHS budget
DHS warned Abraham Accords could destabilize region in 2020
During Uvalde hearing, lawmakers learn where campus security falls short

EUROPE

European parliament approves Ukraine EU candidacy
NATO blinks as Turkey maintains threats to block Sweden, Finland
Estonia says Russia violated its airspace for first time by helicopter
Bulgarian gov loses no-confidence vote, early elections loom
National incident declared over polio virus findings in London sewage
Kyiv Says US Precision Artillery Systems Arrived In Ukraine
Putin says that Russia ready to replace SWIFT for BRICS
Lithuania ready to expand Kaliningrad blockade – president
Europe is drawing up emergency plans to switch back to coal
Moscow renames US embassy street after Donetsk separatists
Putin meets leaders of China, Brazil, and India, as trade grows
Putin calls on BRICS to cooperate, defy West's 'selfish actions'
BoJo says the Russia might soon run out of soldiers and weapons
War in Ukraine on track to be among modern history’s bloodiest
Ukraine-Russia War: Over half of DPR troops killed or injured
Ukraine orders forces to withdraw from Sievierodonetsk
Russia may cut off gas completely, Europe must act now, IEA warns
Biden announces $450M in additional military assistance for Ukraine
European Union makes Ukraine a candidate for EU membership
Germany: Consumer gas prices could triple amid Russian threats
Romanian port struggles to handle flow of Ukrainian grain

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Turkish intelligence busts Iranian plans to kidnap, attack Israelis
Turkey vows to protect Israeli lives as foreign minister visits
Saudi crown prince visits Turkey as relations thaw after Khashoggi murder
Somalia: ‘The worst humanitarian crisis we’ve ever seen’
Urgent appeal for aid as Somalia slides into catastrophic famine
Iran replaces powerful chief of Guards' intelligence unit - state TV
El-Sisi: ‘Terrorism among greatest challenges facing humanity’
Amnesty: Palestinian teen stabber a victim of 'Israeli apartheid'
How Iran fought the Islamic State to a standstill
Netanyahu hails fall of ‘Israel’s worst government,’ slams Bennett’s ‘charade’
‘Total bloodbath’: Witnesses describe Ethiopia ethnic attack

ASIA

Construction of airbase on Tinian island in case Guam gets knocked out
US, Japan launch Pacific nation initiative amid China's rise
China's Xi to attend Hong Kong handover anniversary
Shanghai reports zero COVID-19 cases for first time since outbreak
N. Korea approves new front-line army duties amid tensions
Japan says Chinese coast guard ships in longest violation of its waters
New Chinese destroyer Lhasa on long-distance exercises in Sea of Japan
Afghans bury dead, dig for survivors of devastating quake
Aung San Suu Kyi: Myanmar ex-leader sent to solitary confinement
Xi warns about 'expanding military alliances' at BRICS summit
China says Ukraine crisis has sounded alarm for humanity
Sri Lanka PM says economy 'has collapsed,' unable to buy oil
Taiwan general charged in China spying case
What to make of China’s new aircraft-carrier


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Hurricane Preparedness Resources

These resources provide actionable guidance to government officials and the general public on how to prepare for and respond to extreme tropical weather events. The links below jump directly to the resource page of each organization.

Ready.Gov
DHS / FEMA
Dept. of Defense
Centers for Disease Control (CDC)
Nat'l Oceanic and Atmos. Admin (NOAA)
Dept of Labor / OSHA
Red Cross

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Travel Security Resources

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The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research on the security situation at your destination prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution


Active USGOV Travel Advisories
Alphabetical Country List
Dynamic Map



Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

Overseas Security Advisory Council Logo - ALLOW IMAGES

The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

CDC Logo - ALLOW IMAGES

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

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Take Advantage of These Resources

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