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July 9, 2022
Threat Journal is a weekly supplement to the
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WEEKLY THREAT AND ALERT ROUNDUP
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A Week of Tragedy and Warnings

July 9, 2022
Between July 4-8, the following related Flash SMS
messages were sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

7/4 - Multiple persons injured after shooter opens fire at Highland Park, IL 4th of July parade. Large emergency response underway. AlertsUSA monitoring..

7/4 - IL Governor Pritzker says at least 9 shot in Highland Park parade attack. Shooter remains at large. North Shore residents warned to remain indoors. Monitoring..

7/4 - Update: 5 dead, 16 wounded in Highland Park parade attack. Shooter is not in custody. Large manhunt underway. Highland Park residents urged to shelter in place.

7/7 - Former Japanese PM Abe Shinzo struck by gunfire while delivering campaign speech in Nara City, Japan. Condition critical. Suspect in custody. Monitoring..

7/8 - Former Japanese PM Abe Shinzo confirmed dead after being shot while delivering campaign speech in Nara City, Japan.

What You Need To Know

The morning of Monday, July 4th, AlertsUSA subscribers received the first of three alerts regarding a mass casualty shooting unfolding at the Highland Park, IL Independence Day parade. In this incident, 21-year-old Robert Eugene Crimo III began firing an AR-15 from the roof of a two-story commercial building on a corner along the parade route. Crimo gained access to the roof using an unsecured ladder on the side the building.

A total of 83 shots were fired. In the aftermath, seven people were killed and 30 others were wounded.

Police say Crimo managed to flee the scene and evade immediate capture by dressing in women's clothing and blending into the evacuating crowd. Crimo was taken into custody nearly eight hours later following a brief car chase in the Lake Forest area north of Chicago.

Lake County police say Crimo planned the attack for weeks. Investigators who have interrogated the suspect and reviewed his social media posts have not determined a motive. It is reported Crimo confessed to police that following the parade shooting, he fled to the Madison, WI area, where he contemplated a second attack, but turned back to IL where he was later arrested.

Readers are reminded that just weeks ago, AlertsUSA notified subscribers of new warnings and intelligence briefs from DHS about the dynamic and complex nature of the threat environment facing the U.S. from domestic extremists of various types. DHS continues to assess that the primary threat of mass casualty violence in the United States stems from lone offenders and small groups motivated by a range of ideological beliefs and/or personal grievances.

AlertsUSA urges caution and vigilance when out and about. If you will be attending large gatherings or public events, make it a point to identify nearby exits (to include the entrance you just came through) and keep your situational awareness dialed up.

Abe Shinzo Assassinated in Japan

On Thursday, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified of the assassination of former Japanese Prime Minister Abe Shinzo while delivering campaign stump speech on a street in Nara City, Japan. The 67-year-old Abe, who was Japan’s longest-serving leader when he resigned in 2020, was shot from behind at close range by an assailant using a homemade, double-barreled gun.

The shooter, identified as 41-year-old Tetsuya Yamagami, was immediately arrested and offered no resistance. He later told investigators that he was dissatisfied with Abe and intended to kill him. He also claimed that he held a grudge against a "particular religious group" (the Moonies) and shot Abe because he believed that "the religious group and Abe were connected".

During a search of Yamagami's home, Nara Prefectural Police report the discovery of several possible explosive devices and handmade guns similar to the one used to shoot Abe.

As a final datapoint for consideration, readers may find it interesting that July 7th, the date of Abe's assassination, is also the 85th anniversary of the start of Japan's second invasion of China, also known as the Second Sino-Japanese War. This full-scale conflict is often regarded as the beginning of World War II in Asia. Interesting coincidence..

MI5 and FBI Issue China Warning

On Wed of this week, the head of UK's internal security service known as MI-5, and the head of the Federal Bureau of Investigation warned of the global threat posed from China. The first ever joint public appearance by MI5 head Ken McCallum and FBI director Christopher Wray took place at MI5 headquarters in London during a meeting with international business executives.

Director Wray said his agency “consistently see(s) that it’s the Chinese government that poses the biggest long-term threat to our economic and national security, and by ‘our,’ I mean both of our nations, along with our allies in Europe and elsewhere.”

Wray went on to warn those gathered that China has a long history of targeting private sector information through “cyber-enabled thievery” and, more recently, has launched large-scale campaigns to gain access to U.S. and European businesses by “making investments and creating partnerships that position their proxies to steal valuable technology.”

China has also become adept at launching multi-faceted attacks against foreign institutions ranging from banking centers, research facilities, universities and even elections – and its actors have gone so far as to allegedly target congressional candidates viewed as anti-China, forward confidential vaccine research to their home country, and spy on pro-Democracy advocates in the U.S..

Director General McCallum said "the most game-changing challenge we face comes from the Chinese Communist Party. It’s covertly applying pressure across the globe. This might feel abstract. But it’s real and it’s pressing. We need to talk about it. We need to act.”

McCallum warned: “It means that if you are involved in cutting-edge tech, AI, advanced research or product development, the chances are your know-how is of material interest to the CCP.”

Read the full transcript of their comments HERE.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


AlertsUSA.com

SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

7/3 - Police in Denmark report two dead, at least eight injured in shooting incident, Fields shopping mall, Copenhagen. Gunman in custody. Add'l alerts as warranted.

7/7 - Texas Governor issues Executive Order authorizing TX Nat'l Guard & Texas DPS to apprehend and return illegal immigrants to the border. Full details via email.

7/8 - Ongoing Rogers Communications outage in Canada is interrupting internet, cellular, 911, payment systems, airports and border crossings nationwide. Monitoring..

 
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Russian soldiers (note the ribbon of Saint George helmet bands) standing above captured western weapons including Javalin  and other anti-tank and air missiles. Thus us war...  - ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine War Update+

As of June 24, 2022
What You Need To Know

Since 1949, NATO’s membership has increased from 12 to 30 countries through eight rounds of enlargement. The Republic of North Macedonia became the latest country to join the Alliance on 27 March 2020.

Currently, five partner countries have declared their aspirations to NATO membership: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Finland, Georgia, Sweden and Ukraine.

This week during during a ceremony in Brussels, NATO ambassadors signed the accession protocols for Finland and Sweden. These documents now move to the alliance's 30 member nations for national ratification according to their individual procedures. In the United States, this means the Senate will have to approve the addition of the two countries to the Washington Treaty of 1949.

War Update

British intelligence assesses that Russia is moving reserve forces from across the country and assembling them near Ukraine for future offensive operations.

A large proportion of the new infantry units are probably deploying with MT-LB armored vehicles taken from long-term storage as their primary transport.

While MT-LBs have previously been in service in support roles on both sides, Russia has long considered them unsuitable for most front-line infantry transport roles. It was originally designed in the 1950s as a tractor to pull artillery, has very limited armor, and only mounts a machine gun for protection.

In contrast, most of Russia’s first echelon assault units were equipped with BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicles in February, featuring armor up to 33mm thick and mounting a powerful 30mm autocannon and an anti-tank missile launcher.

Despite President Putin’s claim on 07 July 2022 that the Russian military has ‘not even started’ its efforts in Ukraine, many of its reinforcements are ad hoc groupings, deploying with obsolete or inappropriate equipment.

Click to Enlarge - Conflict map for July 9, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES

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Commentary / Analysis / Research

July 9, 2022

N. Korea And Iran: A Military Technology Partnership From Hell?

North Korea and Iran: The Real Axis of Military Evil? The international community has turned its focus squarely on Russia since it invaded Ukraine in February. While Putin’s offensive war certainly deserves the condemnation it regularly receives, two other rogue nations have escalated their malign behavior in the meantime.

North Korea and Iran are critical threats to U.S. national security. Tehran has ramped up its missile development program and raw materials production, and it is rapidly approaching its nuclear breakout time. Meanwhile, Pyongyang has carried out an unprecedented number of missile launches over the last year, bringing the nation closer to possessing a functional nuclear-weapons delivery system.

~ READ MORE HERE (1945) ~

The Risks of US Military Assistance to Ukraine

The donated weapons pouring into Ukraine—more than $6.1 billion so far from the U.S. alone—have been welcomed by Kyiv, but they also carry a variety of potential national security and strategic consequences. Defense planners, lawmakers, and the public should develop safeguards to keep these weapons from feeding future conflict, violence, and instability.

~ READ MORE HERE (Defense One) ~

NATO’s Ill-Timed Turn to China

Russia and Ukraine are at war, Europe’s failure to take its defense seriously is evident to all, and the allies finally feel pressure to spend and do more militarily. Why, then, did they treat China as an adversary and invite several Asia-Pacific governments to last week’s NATO summit?

~ READ MORE HERE (Responsible Statecraft) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of June 27, 2022.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
July 9, 2022

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of June 27, 2022 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting. In cases where a CSG or ARG is conducting disaggregated operations, the chart reflects the location of the capital ship.


Sailors assigned to Naval Special Warfare Group 8 display the flag while performing dive operations from the fast attack submarine USS New Mexico in the Atlantic Ocean, June 19, 2022.- ALLOW IMAGES
 
World News Roundup
July 9, 2022

AMERICAS

Biden sold 1M barrels from US strategic petroleum reserve to China
Over 5M barrels of US reserve oil were exported to Asia and Europe last month
Rocket explodes moments after launch from California base
Latest US hypersonic test fails after 'anomaly' during first full flight test
Canada: Hair colouring, face tattoos permitted under new military dress rules
Pentagon official warns China acquiring new weapons 5X faster than US
Canada caught between allies for return of Russian turbine
Is he running? Trump plane gets a fresh coat of paint
White House defends harassment of justice Kavanaugh in DC restaurant
The military’s recruiting crisis will continue until its woke messages stop
Canadian military reports sagging recruitment as NATO ramps up deployment
Haiti’s struggle worsened in year since slaying of president
The US army base training Ukrainian fighters

EUROPE

Boris Johnson resigns: Five things that led to the PM's downfall
Boris Johnson: Tories vie for leadership as race to replace PM begins
Did Russia take out Ukrainian HIMARS missile launchers?
Russia claims advanced US rocket launchers destroyed in Ukraine
Russia faces Ukraine heat as G20 foreign ministers meet
Lavrov walks out of G20 talks after denying Russia is causing food crisis
Polish and Lithuanian leaders meet troops at NATO bottleneck
Ukrainian official warns of ‘catastrophe’ in captured city
Russia taking ‘operational pause’ in Ukraine, analysts say
Russia has not paused its Donbas offensive, says Ukraine official
Russian forces unlikely to leave southern Ukraine, ambassador says
Extraordinary argument between Macron and Putin 4 days before Ukraine war
Zelenskyy expresses 'sadness' at UK prime minister's departure
Ukraine summons Turkish envoy after ‘stolen’ grain ship leaves port
Germany's gas crisis in charts: Pipeline repair, and then what?

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

UK reveals Royal Navy seizure of smuggled Iranian missiles
Former Angolan President Jose Eduardo dos Santos dies at 79
South Africa electricity crisis: No power for up to six hours
Togolese remain vigilant over security threat despite state of emergency
Cameroon takes over as chair of AU's Peace and Security Council
Rebels say ceasefire between DR Congo, Rwanda is irrelevant
South Africa's 'train of hope' is a godsend for millions
South Africa’s deadly July 2021 riots may recur if there’s no change
U.S. Naval Forces Africa, U.S. Coast Guard arrive in Algiers, Algeria
Kenya, WHO launch initiative to improve Africa’s health emergency response

ASIA

PLA holds joint drills around Taiwan over US senator visit
Taiwan slams China for sending fighters across Taiwan Strait
Chinese diplomat says 'reunification' with Taiwan 'near'
Biden will rescind Afghanistan’s designation as a major non-NATO ally
Shinzo Abe, powerful former Japan PM, leaves divided legacy
Sri Lanka crisis: Daily heartbreak of life in a country gone bankrupt
Sri Lanka is 'bankrupt,' Prime Minister says
Beijing imposes mainland China's first Covid vaccine mandate


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Hurricane Preparedness Resources

These resources provide actionable guidance to government officials and the general public on how to prepare for and respond to extreme tropical weather events. The links below jump directly to the resource page of each organization.

Ready.Gov
DHS / FEMA
Dept. of Defense
Centers for Disease Control (CDC)
Nat'l Oceanic and Atmos. Admin (NOAA)
Dept of Labor / OSHA
Red Cross

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Travel Security Resources

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The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research on the security situation at your destination prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution


Active USGOV Travel Advisories
Alphabetical Country List
Dynamic Map



Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

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The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

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The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

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Take Advantage of These Resources

Our social media channels provide a steady steam of important news and resources between issues of Threat Journal with little or no overlap of content. Combined with the AlertsUSA service for instant mobile notification of the really bad developments, you have an unmatched set of tools to keep yourself fully up to speed on the nation's threat environment. With times getting worse by the day, we urge you to utilize these resources.


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