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July 15, 2023
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Biden Authorizes Mobilization of Reserves for Europe

July 15, 2023
On July 13th, the following related Flash SMS
message was sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

7/13 - POTUS authorizes callup of Selected Reserve and Individual Ready Reserve forces for duty in the US European Command’s area of responsibility. More via email.

 
What You Need To Know

On Thursday afternoon, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified that Joe Biden had signed an executive order approving the mobilization of up to 3,000 reserve military personnel for service in the European Command's area of responsibility. This first traunch of reserve soldiers will augment active duty armed forces already in the region as part of Operation Atlantic Resolve, a multi-nation effort to bolster the eastern flank of the NATO alliance following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The move comes shortly the end of a two-day NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania.

Geographic Combatant Command Map. Image: DoD - ALLOW IMAGES

Since February of last year, the Dept. of Defense has deployed or extended well over 20,000 additional forces to Europe in response to the Ukraine crisis, adding additional air, land, maritime, cyber, and space capabilities. U.S. service members in Europe now number well beyond 100,000.

Readers are reminded that just last week in the run-up to the Vilnius summit, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg highlighted three new regional defense plans that counter the main NATO threats, which are Russia and terrorism. Those plans cover the Atlantic and European Arctic; the Baltic region and central Europe; and the Mediterranean and Black Sea.

As Stoltenberg states:

"To execute these plans, NATO is putting 300,000 troops on higher readiness, including substantial air and naval combat power."

And now the mobilization of reserve forces has begun. As seen following 9/11, and again prior to the invasion of Iraq, this is rarely done in small numbers. More reserve deployments are coming. Something big is on the horizon.

In addition to responding to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, another major topic on NATO's schedule this week were the growing threats from the Indo-Pacific. In his closing remarks at the end of the NATO conference, Jens Stoltenberg stated the following (video at link):

"NATO is a regional Alliance, but we face global challenges.

What happens in Europe matters to the Indo-Pacific, and what happens in the Indo-Pacific matters to North America and Europe.

Beijing’s global assertiveness and Moscow’s war against Ukraine require even closer coordination between NATO, the EU and our Indo-Pacific partners.

We condemn North Korea’s nuclear and missile programmes, including its latest missile launch: These violate multiple UN Security Council Resolutions and pose a threat to regional and global security.

NATO is reinforcing our ties with Australia, Japan, New Zealand and South Korea with tailored partnership programmes, including joint work on issues like maritime security, new technologies, cyber, climate change, and resilience.

We will work even more closely together, standing strong for the rules-based international order."

This situation is developing fast. AlertsUSA continues to monitor the situation around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers of any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


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SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

7/13 - State Dept. issues updated travel advisory for Israel, the West Bank and Gaza warning of ongoing terrorism threat, civil unrest, and armed conflict. See email.

7/10 - M 6.4 earthquake, 283 km NNE of Codrington, Antigua and Barbuda. Nat'l Tsunami Warning Center: No tsunami danger for US/CAN east coast or Gulf of Mexico.

7/8 - Multiple shooting incidents at different locations in Queens, NY. Gunman reported to be moving on moped, shooting at random. At least 4 victims. Caution urged.

 
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The latest drawdown of military hardware for Ukraine announced this week include AIM-7 Sparrow air-to-air missiles with a high-explosive warheads. The AIM-7 has all-weather, all-altitude operational capability and can attack high-performance aircraft and missiles from any direction. DoD - ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine War Update+

July 15, 2023
What You Need To Know

According to the UK Ministry of Defence:

  • On 12 July 2023, Russian state media reported that nuclear-powered submarines of Russia's Northern Fleet will not be taking part in the main Navy Day fleet review in St Petersburg on 30 July 2023.
  • Since the current Navy Day format was established in 2017, this would be the first year that no nuclear-powered submarines have been involved. The change is likely primarily due to allow for maintenance and to retain availability for operations and training.
  • There is also a realistic possibility that internal security concerns since Wagner Group’s attempted mutiny have contributed to the decision.
Ukraine conflict map as of July 14, 2023. Image: @war_mapper with permission. - ALLOW IMAGES

NukAlert Personal Radiation Monitor and Alarm - ALLOW IMAGES

U.S and Chinese flag drapped chess pieces on board. Image: DepositPhotos.com- ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

July 15, 2023

Preparing for Great Power Conflict

The U.S. and Chinese militaries have been shaped by a distinct set of direct and indirect experiences. The dichotomy presented by the experiences of both militaries raises several questions about how they are preparing for the possibility of a major power conflict. Since 2001, the U.S. military has gained significant direct combat experience, but has done so against technologically inferior, nonpeer adversaries. In contrast, the PLA had no direct combat experience. Even though its concepts of operation are designed to fight a major power, these concepts are largely derived from indirect observations and lessons from U.S. operations since 1991. The ways that each side gains and processes experience and incorporates it into training will heavily affect readiness for and performance in a future war.

~ READ MORE HERE (RAND) ~

The Navy Needs Tactical Nuclear Weapons . . . Again

In his most recent invasion of Ukraine, Vladimir Putin has reminded the world of the potential use of tactical nuclear weapons and the attendant implications for escalation to strategic nuclear weapon exchanges.1 Russian nuclear threats run parallel to the inexorable development of nuclear weapons by smaller states and a huge push by China to increase its nuclear arsenal. These changes highlight new-old realities of nuclear strategy, policy, and operations.

~ READ MORE HERE (USNI) ~

Cyber Operations During the Russo-Ukrainian War

This latest On Future War paper analyzes the interplay of cyber operations in the Ukraine conflict by assessing the impact, deciphering future implications, and formulating strategic recommendations for cyber defense partnerships and countering information operations.

~ READ MORE HERE (CSIS) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of July 10, 2023.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
U.S. Navy Fleet and Marine Tracker
July 10, 2023

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of July 10, 2023 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting.


An E/A-18G attached to the "Grey Wolves" of Electronic Attack Squadron 142, sits chocked and chained to the flight deck of the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford, July 9, 2023. The Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group is on a scheduled deployment in the U.S. Naval Forces Europe area of operations, employed by U.S. Sixth Fleet to defend U.S., allied, and partner interests.  Image: DoD - ALLOW IMAGES
World News Roundup
July 15, 2023

AMERICAS

The US sets new record for the deadliest six months of mass killings
Congressman issues grim warning after viewing classified UFO footage
Secret Service concludes cocaine investigation, no suspect identified
UPS strike could be costliest in US in a century, study says
Drones reach stratospheric heights in race to fly higher, longer
Biden traded IMF aid for Turkish consent to Sweden’s NATO membership
These are the world's top 40 largest military budgets
Explosives used in Mexico 'terror' attack that killed six
US sanctions 10 Mexicans allegedly tied to fentanyl trade
Peru extends emergency in mining region ahead of fresh protests
NY man sentenced to life for terror charges

EUROPE

Rampant corruption is one reason behind Ukraine's failed NATO bid
Is Wagner Group also overseeing Russia's tactical nukes in Belarus?
Swedish police authorize burning of Torah, Bible outside Israeli Embassy
Ukraine's spymaster comes out of the shadows
Controversial cluster munitions are now in Ukraine, say Ukraine and Pentagon
Wallace: UK not an Amazon delivery service for weapons to Ukraine
Thousands of Ukrainian civilians held in Russian prisons
Wagner turns over 2,000 heavy weapons including tanks, SAM systems
Ukrainian intelligence has informants close to Putin's inner circle, says Budanov
Germany unveils strategy to cut reliance on China's economy
UN scrambles to save Black Sea grain deal ahead of Monday deadline
What happens if Black Sea grain corridor deal is not extended?
Russian general says he was fired for telling truth about Ukraine problems
Uranium plant explosion in Russia sparks nuclear radiation fears
Will Sweden actually be admitted into NATO?

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Thousands flee homes in jihadist-hit Niger
Defense minister: Israel has foiled more than 50 Iranian attacks around world
Ugandan President and son are accused of crimes against humanity
Sudan rejects African peace bid and ‘enemy’ peacekeeping force
Syrians still endure poverty despite relative calm and renewed Arab ties
Sudan’s neighbors meeting in Cairo for summit to try to end conflict
Police say officers kill at least 6 as Kenyans protest rising costs
Egypt, Ethiopia agree to talks on giant Nile Dam
Iranians lash out after Moscow wades into Gulf territorial row
UAE suspends Emirates Gold over money laundering allegations
Turkiye, Qatar to launch joint investment for chip production

ASIA

China accuses US of accelerated militarization of space
China's US envoy makes rare Pentagon visit for security-related talks
Beijing warns Japanese fishing boat in waters near islands claimed by China
US Navy plane flies through Taiwan Strait, China carries out more drills
Taiwan says 34 Chinese military aircraft detected near the Island
N Korea requests to speak at UNSC meeting after latest missile launch
S.Korea asks to send experts to monitor Fukushima water release
At least 41 dead after heavy rain and flash floods in northern India
IMF loan helps Pakistan unlock another $5.6 billion in funding
Militants attack security post in Pakistan leaving 15 dead
Huge protest demands ouster of Bangladesh leader

PUBLIC HEALTH

China’s military is leading the world in brain ‘neurostrike’ weapons
Facepalm: CDC offers 'chestfeeding' guidance to trans individuals
Microbiologist releases study linking COVID vaccine to increased cancer risk


Peak Prosperity with Dr. Chris Martenson.

Hurricane and Tropical Storm Campfire Graph - ALLOW IMAGES.

Global Rescue: Wander the World Without Worry

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Travel Security Resources

With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research the security situation at your destination prior to booking, and again prior to departure.

The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide.

Active USGOV Travel Notices

Active USGOV Travel Advisories

Other USGOV Travel Resources

Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) - Registering your overseas trip with the Department of State STEP program allows you to receive information from the Embassy about safety conditions in your destination country, helping you make informed decisions about your travel plans.

Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) - Joining OSAC provides a variety of USGOV resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) - The CDC travel website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

See what other governments are telling their own citizens about the safety and security aspects of your destination.



Take Advantage of These Resources

Our social media channels provide a steady steam of important news and resources between issues of Threat Journal with little or no overlap of content. Combined with the AlertsUSA service for instant mobile notification of the really bad developments, you have an unmatched set of tools to keep yourself fully up to speed on the nation's threat environment. With times getting worse by the day, we urge you to utilize these resources.


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