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July 18, 2020
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WEEKLY THREAT AND ALERT ROUNDUP
Published Each Saturday Afternoon
 
U.S. and China: From Engagement to Hostility - ALLOW IMAGES

U.S. and China: From Engagement to Hostility

July 18, 2020
What You Need To Know

The Trump Administration continues to turn up the heat on China, delivering near daily broadside shots against the Chinese Communist Party.

On Monday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo issued a strong administration policy statement on excessive Chinese maritime claims in the S. China Sea.

"Beijing uses intimidation to undermine the sovereign rights of Southeast Asian coastal states in the South China Sea, bully them out of offshore resources, assert unilateral dominion, and replace international law with “might makes right.”

Map of the S. China Sea showing China's territorial claims (within the red-dashed line). - ALLOW IMAGES

Secretary Pompeo's statement explicitly aligns the U.S. position with a 2016 international Permanent Court of Arbitration decision that rejects China’s sweeping Nine-Dash Line claims:

“The world will not allow Beijing to treat the South China Sea as its maritime empire."

Oil, Gas and Submarine Tunnels

China continues to militarize the S. China Sea, turning rocks and low tide elevations into habitable islands in an attempt to establish a massive Exclusive Economic Zone. Two of the primary drivers behind these efforts are energy and defense.

The U.S. Energy Information Agency estimates that the South China Sea holds about 190 trillion cubic feet of natural gas and 11 billion barrels of oil in proved and probable reserves. The most recent large oil and gas discovery in the region was announced just last month.

As a maritime nation with over 9,000 miles of coastline, China also operates a large number of naval bases. Several of these facilities provide underground tunnels to protect key warships, as well as the ballistic missile submarine force.

The first is Jianggezhuang Naval Base (36° 6'20.76"N, 120°35'2.39"E) near Qingdao on the Yellow Sea, directly opposite the Korea Peninsula (and lots of eye and ears). The second, and newest, is at Yulin Naval Base on the southern coast of Hainan Island (18°12'8.97"N, 109°41'39.34"E). Yulin allows Chinese ballistic missile submarines (and aircraft carriers) easy access to.... the S. China Sea.

The U.S. Navy continues freedom of navigation exercises in the S. China Sea to challenge the illegal territorial claims. Earlier this month, the U.S. sent two carrier strike groups along with B-52 bombers to the region for joint operations.

Hong Kong Autonomy Act and Executive Order

On Tuesday, during a press conference in the White House Rose Garden, President Trump announced that he had signed into law the Hong Kong Autonomy Act (H.R.7440). Passed overwhelmingly in both the House and Senate, the new law imposes sanctions on Chinese officials, businesses and banks that help China restrict Hong Kong’s autonomy. The move comes in response to China's passage of a "national security" law that tightened Beijing's grip on Hong Kong by prohibiting what Beijing views as secessionist, subversive or terrorist activities.

Also on Tuesday, President Trump signed an executive order revoking the special trading status the US provided Hong Kong since 1997 when it reverted to China's control under a promised "One Country, Two Systems" principle. According to President Trump:

“Hong Kong will now be treated the same as mainland China. No special privileges, no special economic treatment, and no export of sensitive technologies.”

'China’s Goal Is To Replace You'

On Wednesday, during a speech at the Gerald Ford Presidential Museum in Grand Rapids, Michigan, Attorney General William Barr delivered a scathing critique of the Chinese government's "predatory" trade policies and accused the country of manipulating American businesses, stealing trade secrets and attempting to hack U.S. efforts to develop COVID-19 treatments and vaccines.

Barr specifically singled out some of Silicon Valley’s biggest names, saying they had allowed themselves to become “pawns of Chinese influence.”

“American companies such as Cisco helped the Chinese Communist build the Great Firewall of China, the world's most sophisticated system for internet surveillance, and censorship,” he said. “Over the years, corporations, such as Google, Microsoft, Yahoo and Apple have shown themselves all too willing to collaborate with the CCP.”

Barr offered this warning to corporations doing business in China:

“The ultimate ambition of China's rulers isn't to trade with the United States. It is to raid the United States. If you're an American business leader, appeasing the PRC may bring short term rewards, but in the end the PRC’s goal is to replace you.”

Watch the Full Presentation

Read the Transcript

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


1918 police dealing with a "mask slacker." - ALLOW IMAGES

Coronavirus Update

July 18, 2020

As of the time of this reports' preparation on Friday, there were more than 3,647,700 COVID-19 cases reported in the U.S., as well as 139,000 deaths attributed to the virus. In addition, multiple states are reporting their highest averages of new cases since the pandemic began, and more importantly, hospitalizations as a result of the virus have been sharply rising.

Despite the dramatic influence of politics and biased media coverage of the pandemic response, the botched effort of federal and state health authorities in testing and accurate case counting, the two-step and mixed messaging on use of masks, the highly flawed rule-making hampering the use of hydroxycholoquine in the treatment of those infected with COVID-19 and so much more, AlertsUSA encourages readers to remain conscious of the need to be cautious, not only out of concern for your own well being, but also that of others. There actually is a virus, it is still in circulation globally, it is still hospitalizing people globally, and it is still taking lives globally.


What's The Deal With Masks?

Below are three papers providing evidence that mask use DOES impact the spread of the virus. The research is peer reviewed, published this year, and comes from three top scientific journals.

Identifying Airborne Transmission as the Dominant
Route for the Spread of COVID-19

"Our analysis reveals that the difference with and without mandated face covering represents the determinant in shaping the trends of the pandemic. This protective measure significantly reduces the number of infections. "

Zhang R, Li Y, et al. Identifying airborne transmission as the dominant route for the spread of COVID-19. Proceedings of the Natl Academy of Sciences USA. 2020;117(26):14857-14863. doi:10.1073/pnas.2009637117


A Modeling Framework to Assess the Likely Effectiveness
of Facemasks in Combination with ‘Lock-Down’ in Managing
the COVID-19 Pandemic

"We show that, when facemasks are used by the public all the time (not just from when symptoms first appear), the effective reproduction number, Ro, can be decreased BELOW 1, leading to the mitigation of epidemic spread."

Stutt, R. O., Retkute, R., Bradley, M., Gilligan, C. A., & Colvin, J. (2020). A modelling framework to assess the likely effectiveness of facemasks in combination with ‘lock-down’ in managing the COVID-19 pandemic. Proceedings of the Royal Society, 476(2238), 20200376. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2020.0376


Physical Distancing, Face Masks, and Eye Protection to
Prevent Person-to-Person Transmission of SARS-CoV-2
and COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

"Face mask use could result in a large reduction in risk of infection..."

Chu DK, Akl EA, Duda S, et al. Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. The Lancet. 2020 Jun 1. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31142-9


SITUATION REPORTS / OFFICIAL CASE NUMBERS

World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control (U.S.)
Johns Hopkins CSSE (Interactive map updated multiple times daily)

OFFICIAL PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE RESOURCES

White House: Guidelines for Opening Up America Again
CDC: K-12 Schools: Readiness and Planning Tool
CDC: One-Stop Shop for COVID-19 Resources
Department of Homeland Security / Ready.Gov
World Health Organization

CDC: How to Protect Yourself
CDC: What to Do If You Are Sick

OFFICIAL CORONAVIRUS INFORMATION PAGES

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Food and Drug Administration
Public Health Agency of Canada
Infection Prevention and Control Canada
World Health Organization


AlertsUSA.com

SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

7/12 - AertsUSA monitoring response to explosion aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Bonhomme Richard at San Diego Naval Station. Multiple injuries reported.

7/13 - POTUS at law enforcement roundtable: Crackdown on inner city crime will occur "even if we have to go in and take over cities. We're not going to let it go on."

7/14 - NY expands 2-week quarantine order. Now impacting visitors from AL, AR, AZ, CA, FL, GA, IA, ID, KS, LA, MN, MS, NC, NM, NV, OH, OK, SC, TN, TX & WI.

7/16 - Shallow M7.3 earthquake, 119 km N of Kokoda, Papua New Guinea. Hazardous tsunami waves possible within 300 KM of the epicenter.

 
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====> CLICK TO WATCH VIDEO <====


COVID-19 Pandemic Operational Guidance for the 2020 Hurricane Season - ALLOW IMAGES

COVID-19 Pandemic Operational Guidance
for the 2020 Hurricane Season

July 18, 2020

To address the challenges of managing disaster response and recovery efforts during this year’s hurricane season, FEMA is releasing the “COVID-19 Pandemic Operational Guidance for the 2020 Hurricane Season” to help emergency managers and public health officials best prepare for disasters, while continuing to respond to and recover from coronavirus (COVID-19). The guidance can also be used by private sector and non-governmental organizations to gain an understanding of the government’s posture, planning and readiness efforts.

AlertsUSA was instrumental in this guidance coming into existence.

View the Full Document Here (PDF)


Have Russia And China Already 'Militarized' Space? - ALLOW IMAGES.

Commentary / Analysis / Research

July 18, 2020

Have Russia And China
Already 'Militarized' Space?

Decades of experience dealing with Moscow and Beijing should have taught Washington that their unwarranted criticisms of U.S. defense policy - planning for nuclear first use, cheating on arms control, and militarizing space - are usually reliable indicators of their own plans and behavior. Is it possible that Russia and China object so vehemently to U.S. “militarization of space” because they have already done so with nuclear-armed satellites, and themselves have secret plans to rapidly deploy space-based missile defenses in wartime?

~ READ MORE HERE ~

Kim Jong-Un zigs, Kim Yo-Jong Zags,
and How North Korea Negotiates

Pyongyang has long been known as a fickle interlocutor. But this recent behaviour shows the “zigzag” approach the country often adopts deliberately. A zigzag is defined as “a series of short sharp turns”, and this captures North Korea’s policy of sharp contradictions in negotiations as it seeks to extract maximum concessions at the lowest cost.

~ READ MORE HERE ~

Iran's Military Alliance with China
Threatens Middle East Security

The U.S. faces the prospect of a serious escalation in tensions with Iran after Tehran's announcement that it intends to build a new military base in the Indian Ocean by the end of the year. The Iranian announcement, moreover, comes at a time when Tehran is on the point of signing a $400 billion trade deal with China, which will include closer military cooperation between the two countries in the region in an attempt to counter Washington's traditional dominance.

~ READ MORE HERE ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of July 13, 2020  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
July 18, 2020

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of July 13, 2020 based on Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting. In cases where a CSG or ARG is conducting disaggregated operations, the chart reflects the location of the capital ship.


An MV-22B Osprey hoists a cargo net of tires during an external lift exercise at Morόn Air Base, Spain, July 9, 2020. - ALLOW IMAGES
 
World News Roundup
July 18, 2020

AMERICAS

Secret Trump order gives CIA more powers to launch cyberattacks
North American borders to be closed until August 21
Arleigh Burke destroyer USS Pinckney conducts FONOP in Caribbean Sea
Fire extinguished aboard USS Bonhomme Richard after raging for 4 days
Latin America's death toll tops 150,000
Brazil coronavirus cases reach 2 million, doubling in less than a month
Brazil's Bolsonaro, a Trump ally, says he hopes U.S. president is reelected
Peru president reshuffles cabinet as COVID-19 takes its toll
Canada ethics probe widens to Trudeau's finance minister
Mexico tightens coronavirus curbs in tourist spots, other pockets
Canada to spend C$19 billion on 'safe restart' after lockdown, Trudeau says
Canadian federal court recommends external review of spy agency
CENTCOM Chief Says US Can Do Job in Iraq with Fewer Forces
US General confident Iraqis will ask American troops to remain in Iraq
Space Force chooses 2,410 airmen to join ranks
Cammies, Flight Suits Now Off-Limits for Marines and Sailors at the Pentagon

EUROPE

New French PM says battle against 'radical Islamism' a priority
British nuclear sub in ‘near miss’ with packed ferry after ship sees periscope
‘Jihadi bride’ wins right to return to Britain to fight for citizenship
UK says Russia sought to interfere in 2019 election by spreading docs online
Kremlin denies UK allegations of vote meddling, Covid-19 vaccine hacking
In Russia's far east, rare anti-Putin protests gain momentum
U.S. imposes fresh sanctions on Russian businessman Yevgeniy Prigozhin
French PM: Mask-wearing compulsory indoors in public from next week
Ireland puts brakes on easing lockdown amid 'real concern'
Fuel spill in Russia taking a devastating toll on the Arctic
Europe scraps data-sharing privacy agreement with US
Battle of the statues continues as Bristol removes anti-racism monument
Russian shipyard floats out first Borei-A-class nuclear-powered submarine
Moscow Develops Next-Generation Combat Infantry System

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Israel keeps blowing up military targets in Iran
CENTCOM chief: A war with Israel would not end well for Hezbollah
Wired: Iranian Spies Accidentally Leaked Videos of Themselves Hacking
War-torn Syria goes to the polls amid economic crisis
Powerful explosions rock ammo dump of US-backed militia in northeast Syria
Iran security forces fire tear gas to disperse protesters
Iran judiciary may halt protesters' executions after social media storm
US urges Netanyahu to keep alive chance of Palestinian state
7 die in Turkey reconnaissance plane crash
U.N. warns of spill '4X the size of Exxon Valdez' from disabled Yemeni tanker
Sudan blasts 'unilateral' move as Ethiopia dam fills
Egypt 'won't stand idle' on security threats from Libya
Libya denounces Egypt's 'will not stand idle' threats
US accuses Russian mercenaries of planting land mines in Libya
Libya prisoner swap: Exchange between GNA and Haftar's forces
Kidnappers 'release dozens of hostages' in Cameroon
CAR minister blasts 'inequality crisis' in coronavirus testing
Algeria plans law to protect medics as attacks, virus cases rise

ASIA

‘No kowtowing to Beijing’: Taiwanese President promises to fortify defences
Armenia and Azerbaijan Are On the Brink of War - And Washington Is Worried
U.S. targets Chinese Communist Party members in possible travel ban: source
US spy drone seen over S. China Sea headed for Taiwan
China calls US 'pathetic' amid reports of visa ban on CCP party members
India: Pakistan broke agreement on 'unimpeded' access to 'spy'
Struggling India crosses 1 million coronavirus cases
Afghanistan condemns cross-border rocket firing by Pakistan
China says will stick with U.S. trade deal, but respond to 'bullying'
China slams U.S. response to Hong Kong security law as 'gangster logic'
China says a US travel ban on Communist Party members would be 'pathetic'
Kim Jong Un staying out of spotlight amid pandemic, analyst says
North Korea decries Japan's 'bad habits' after white paper released
Anger in Japan as US army bases report mounting Covid-19 outbreak


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Book - Three Seconds Until Midnight by Dr. Steven Hatfill et al..

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Travel Security

Department of State Seal - ALLOW IMAGES

The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to do a little research on the security situation at your destination well prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution


Active USGOV Travel Advisories
Alphabetical Country List
Dynamic Map



Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

Overseas Security Advisory Council Logo - ALLOW IMAGES

The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

CDC Logo - ALLOW IMAGES

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

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Take Advantage of These Resources

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Ezekiel 33:3 - "Then if anyone hears the trumpet but does not heed the warning and the sword comes and takes their life, their blood will be on their own head."