On Tuesday, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified that the State Dept was compiling a list of US citizens in need of assistance departing Niger following last week's military coup (by US-trained forces..). One day later, the State Dept ordered the departure of non-emergency U.S. government employees and eligible family members from the U.S. Embassy in Niamey.
Readers are reminded that last Sunday, the Economic Community of West African States (otherwise known as ECOWAS), issued a one-week ultimatum to the interim military government in Niger to restore constitutional order or risk the possible use of force. That deadline is Sunday, August 6.
Here is where things get interesting.
Nigeria and Senegal, at a minimum, have publicly agreed to contribute troops to any intervention effort in Niger. But Mali and Burkina Faso, who are also ECOWAS member states, jointly announced on July 31 that any foreign intervention in Niger would be deemed a “declaration of war” against their own countries.
Confused yet? It gets better.
Mali and Burkina Faso each have security agreements with Russia. The Wagner PMC Group (of Ukraine and Belarus fame) is employed by both countries to lead training exercises, fight anti-government forces, and to quell protests.
France and the U.S. have military bases in Niger. On Friday, Niger’s military junta severed all military agreements with France, its former colonial ruler.
In an official statement, the French government has warned:
"Anyone attacking French nationals, the army, diplomats or French bases would see France retaliate immediately and intractably. The President of the Republic will not tolerate any attack against France and its interests."
Deposed President Mohamed Bazoum this week published a plea for assistance in the Washington Post. “I write this as a hostage and urged the U.S. and partners to help."
Niger is the fourth West African country to fall to a coup since 2020 and the last major US security partner in the Sahel region, the new global center for Islamic terrorism. Will the US and allies allow Niger to fall away from the West and into Russia's sphere of influence? There will be interesting days ahead.
AlertsUSA continues to monitor the situation around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers of any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant. |