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October 29, 2022
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Ukraine Warns of Russian Dirty Bomb False Flag -  ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine Warns of Russian Dirty Bomb False Flag

October 29, 2022
On October 23, the following Flash SMS
message was sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

10/23 - US, UK, France issue joint stmt on support for Ukraine, warns Russia against false allegations of Ukraine's possible use of a dirty bomb in conflict. See email.

 
What You Need To Know

On Sunday of this week, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified of a joint statement on support for Ukraine issued by the governments of the U.S., UK, and France, which also warned Russia against false allegations of Ukraine's possible use of a radiological dirty bomb in the conflict:

"We, the Foreign Ministers of France, the United Kingdom, and the United States, reiterate our steadfast support for Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity in the face of Russia's ongoing aggression. We remain committed to continue supporting Ukraine's efforts to defend its territory for as long as it takes.

Earlier today, the defense ministers of each of our countries spoke to Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoygu at his request. Our countries made clear that we all reject Russia's transparently false allegations that Ukraine is preparing to use a dirty bomb on its own territory. The world would see through any attempt to use this allegation as a pretext for escalation. We further reject any pretext for escalation by Russia."

The joint statement was issued after Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoygu spoke with his counterparts in Washington, London, Paris and Ankara, warning of “uncontrolled escalation from the Ukrainian side.

Fears are rising that a major event on Ukrainian soil in the near future would actually be a Russian “false flag” operation. As an example, just last week, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky told European leaders in Brussels that Russia was preparing to sabotage the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Dam in the south of the country, potentially flooding 80 towns, villages and cities, including the strategically important city of Kherson.

According to Dara Massicot, a military expert and senior policy researcher at the Washington-based RAND Corp., the Russian Defense Ministry’s statement was disconcerting.

“This reads like Russian false flag groundwork. Troubling that it’s happening at the defense minister level.”

Satellites Potentially Targeted

On Wednesday of this week, Konstantin Vorontsov of the Russian Foreign Ministry told the United Nations that US commercial satellites, if used as part of the conflict in Ukraine, could become legitimate targets for attack.

Private assets like Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite internet constellation, as well as Maxar and Planet Labs earth observation satellites, have proven critical in keeping Ukrainians online and effective in battle.

Nuclear Deterrent Exercises

Last week AlertsUSA Threat Journal provided an overview of NATO's nuclear deterrent exercises getting underway known as Steadfast Noon. The exercise involves 14 countries and approximately 60 aircraft of various types with the goal of training aircrews in using U.S. tactical nuclear weapons. The arrangement is known as "nuclear bomb sharing" and involves teaching the process of arming fighter jets of select non-nuclear NATO countries and training their pilots to carry out nuclear strikes. Obviously all of the weapons used in the exercise are inert. Additionally, during peacetime, the nuclear weapons remain under U.S. control. In the event of war, this sharing agreement means the weapons could very well be distributed to these trained NATO partners

This week, Russia's annual nuclear deterrent exercise known as "The Grom" also got underway. Russian state-owned news outlets have confirmed Russian forces fired nuclear-capable ICBM missiles from the Plesetsk Cosmodrome, roughly 600 miles north of Moscow, along with a submarine-launched ballistic missiles from the Barents Sea. Long-range air-launched cruise missiles were also reportedly fired Wednesday.

The Pentagon confirmed that Moscow had alerted it to regularly scheduled missile tests per U.N. charter, and therefore, did not violate any international treaties.

DoD Releases 2022 Strategic Reviews

This week the Defense Department released the public versions of three strategic documents — the National Defense Strategy, the Nuclear Posture Review and the Missile Defense Review.

The 2022 NDS sets the Department’s strategic direction and priorities for the Joint Force, identifying how the U.S. military will meet growing threats to U.S. national security interests and to a stable and open international system.

According to the documents, the scope and scale of threats to the homeland have fundamentally changed. The PRC and Russia now pose more dangerous challenges to safety and security at home, even as terrorist threats persist. Both states are already using non-kinetic means against our defense industrial base and mobilization systems, as well as deploying counterspace capabilities that can target our Global Positioning System and other space-based capabilities that support military power and daily civilian life.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


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SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

10/23 - US Embassy Nigeria warns of elevated terror risk in the capital, Abuja. Targets may incl gov bldgs, places of worship, schools, malls, hotels, etc.. See email.

10/24 - U.S. Attorney General Garland and other Justice Dept officials hold press conference on unspecified national security issue. LIVE STREAM: https://www.justice.gov/live

10/27 - AlertsUSA monitoring response to active shooter report, Santa Cruz High School, Santa Cruz, CA. Heavy police presence. Add'l alerts as warranted.

 
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stands next to the wreckage of an Iranian Shahed-136 drone, which Iran denies having supplied to Russia, and which Russia uses to attack Ukrainian civilian targets and critical infrastructure.- ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine War Update+

As of October 29, 2022
What You Need To Know

According UK Ministry of Defense:

On 27 October 2022, the Russian-appointed governor of Ukraine's occupied Kherson region, Vladimir Saldo, said that more than 70,000 people had now left Kherson city.

On 26 October 2022, Saldo also claimed that Russia had removed the remains of the well-known 18th century Russian statesman, Prince Grigory Potemkin, from his tomb in Kherson’s cathedral to east of the Dnipro.

In the Russian national identity, Potemkin is heavily associated with the Russian conquest of Ukrainian lands in the 18th century and highlights the weight Putin almost certainly places on perceived historical justification for the invasion.

This symbolic removal of Potemkin and the civilian exodus likely pre-empts Russian intent to expedite withdrawal from the area.

Click to Enlarge - Ukraine conflict map as of Oct 29, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES

General Christopher Gerard Cavoli is commander of United States European Command since 1 July 2022 and Supreme Allied Commander Europe since 4 July 2022.  - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

October 29, 2022

Assessing Civilian Deference to the Military

When and why do civilian policymakers defer to military expertise? Although scholars agree that civilian deference to military expertise is important to assess the health of civil-military relations, there is much less agreement over the causes of deference, especially whether it is the product of structure or agency.

Using cases of policy disagreements over special operations forces, cyber operations, and nuclear strategy and force structure, [the authors] argue that civilian deference is not merely a product of the structure of the information environment.

Although civilians defer when the military has a near monopoly on information, they also defer in cases when military expertise competes against civilian knowledge and analysis. In other words, civilian deference is not a byproduct of civilians’ access to information — it is a choice over which civilians have agency.

~ READ MORE HERE (Texas National Security Review) ~

Russia’s Nuclear Weapons May Be Useless

Putin seems to be on a nostalgia trip and is desperately trying to relive his Cold War days. Not only has he sparked a deadly war to try and reclaim the old Soviet state of Ukraine, but he is also throwing nuclear threats at the West left, right, and center. In fact, these nuclear threats are why NATO hasn’t been able to support Ukraine’s independence as much as they want to, given that they can’t risk starting a global nuclear war that could wipe out humanity as we know it.

Fortunately, thanks to a quirk of nuclear physics, there is a chance that Putin’s nuclear weapons have been rendered useless. But how? And what does this mean for Ukraine and NATO?

~ READ MORE HERE (Medium) ~

Ukraine’s Dream Could Be Taiwan’s Nightmare

Russia’s poor performance in Ukraine has bolstered the hopes of those who seek to deter Chinese aggression against Taiwan, but there is reason to expect that Taiwan would be more difficult to defend than Ukraine. Defenders of territorial sovereignty and a peaceful world order may be cheered by Ukraine’s success, but there is danger that success could decrease the urgency of efforts to strengthen Taiwan. China is investing in its military and will seek to learn from the problems Russia has had in Ukraine. Will the United States and other supporters of Taiwan do the same?

~ READ MORE HERE (War On The Rocks) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of Oct 24, 2022.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
October 29, 2022

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of Oct 24, 2022 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting. In cases where a CSG or ARG is conducting disaggregated operations, the chart reflects the location of the capital ship.


Sailors prepare for flight operations while transiting through a storm aboard the USS Gerald R. Ford in the Atlantic Ocean, Oct. 18, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES
 
World News Roundup
October 29, 2022

AMERICAS

Intruder beat Pelosi’s husband with hammer in their home
A-10 Warthogs to brush up on maritime combat in Pacific deployment
Reagan operating with Japanese, Canadian warships in western Pacific
US Navy hunting for information warfare experts
US sends more aid to Ukraine incl ammunition, mines and sat antennas
United States courting allies to ban chip exports to China
Federal data quietly reveals 100 terror suspects caught at southern border
U.S. has no plan to change defense posture in Indo-Pacific
White House taking every step to avoid direct Biden-Putin encounter at G-20
Starlink signals can be reverse-engineered to work like GPS
Biden moves to scrap Trump-era sea-launched nuclear missile program
Biden admin quietly flies illegals to NY in middle of night: report
96,000 Haitians displaced by recent gang violence in capital: report
A heated presidential election puts Brazil's future as a democracy in question

EUROPE

Russia warns West: We can target your commercial satellites
Finland will allow NATO to bring nuclear weapons into its territory
Russia suspends grain export deal with Ukraine after ‘drone attack’
UN nuclear agency to probe Russia claim of `dirty bombs’
'Massive' drone attack on Black Sea Fleet - Russia
Russia says British navy involved in Nord Stream 2 'terrorist attack'
Kyiv facing ‘sharp deterioration’ in electric supply after Russian strikes
'Holy war': Russia now depicts Ukraine invasion in spiritual terms
Putin warns we have entered the most dangerous decade since WW2
Calls for Putin to launch full-scale nuclear strikes on UK and US
Ukraine war refugees asked not to return this winter
Norwegian and British vessels shadowed by Russian navy in the Barents Sea
West and Russia clash over UN probe of drone use in Ukraine
Belarusian troops examine NLAW, Javelin, and Panzerfaust 3 used in Ukraine
Russia makes veiled threat to destroy SpaceX's Starlink

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Like US, UK warns citizens over possible attack in Abuja
Iran says bomb attack foiled in Shiraz on day of shooting
Ugandan gov’t under fire as Ebola outbreak spreads in Kampala
NGOs demand Senegal's president renounce a third term
Nigerian flood victims decry government’s response to disaster
Kenya issues new warning on jobs scams, human trafficking cartels
DR Congo army clashes with M23 near Goma
Burkina Faso recruits 50,000 civilians to fight jihadists
UN: Syria facing `acute violence' and worst economic crisis
U.S. authorises departure of non-emergency staff from Nigeria
Like US, UK warns citizens over possible attack in Abuja
Jihadist raids spark new exodus in Mozambique
Protester killed as Sudanese rally against military on coup anniversary
Iran protests reignite at funerals and commemorations for those killed
Iran’s leaders try to link deadly shrine attack to protests
Ethiopia peace talks open in South Africa

ASIA

Sri Lankans march against government crackdown on protests
Heavy rain due to Tropical Storm Paeng leaves 31 dead in Philippines
N. Korea fires 2 short-range ballistic missiles toward East Sea
Sohae satellite launching station: Significant activity underway
N. Korea warned of ‘unparalleled’ response if nuclear test held
US tactical nuke redeployment, NATO-style nuclear sharing off table
US vows full military defense of allies against North Korea, incl nukes
Chinese call U.S. 'biggest external challenge' to Seoul-Beijing ties
What to make of North Korea's current play of 'Tong-nam-bong-mi'?
4 current, former Samsung employees indicted on semiconductor tech theft
Residents afraid to return home as aftershocks rock Philippines
UN envoy: Myanmar crisis deepens, taking ‘catastrophic toll’
Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan border tensions simmer amid a flurry of accusations

PUBLIC HEALTH

Senate report concludes that COVID 'most likely' leaked from lab
Endonuclease fingerprint indicates a synthetic origin of SARS-CoV-2
Omicron-specific boosters fail to show benefit over original shots, study finds
Docs reveal HHS plan for demographic based vaccine propaganda
Shanghai district orders mass COVID-19 testing, lockdown
Wuhan plunged back into lockdown almost three years after first Covid case
Qatar drops coronavirus restrictions just before World Cup
Biden puts U.S. children at grave medical risk
Uganda steps up Ebola response as virus infects 109, kills 30


Peak Prosperity with Dr. Chris Martenson.

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Travel Security Resources

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The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research on the security situation at your destination prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution


Active USGOV Travel Advisories
Alphabetical Country List
Dynamic Map



Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

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The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

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The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

 

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

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