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November 20, 2021
Threat Journal is a weekly supplement to the
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CCTV footage shows the moment the taxi carrying Emad Al Swealmeen explodes. - ALLOW IMAGES

UK Warns New Terror Attacks Highly Likely

November 20, 2021
Between November 14-15, the following related Flash SMS
message s were sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

11/14 - One dead and another injured after a car explosion outside Liverpool Women's Hospital in England. Counterterrorism police leading investigation. Monitoring..

11/15 - UK Joint Terror Analysis Center raises terror threat level raised to SEVERE, indicating another attack is "highly likely." Vigilance urged.

11/15 - US Embassy London issues security alert noting MI5 terror threat level increase, urges low profile & increased awareness when in public places. More via email.

What You Need To Know

Last Sunday afternoon AlertsUSA subscribers were informed of a car bomb explosion outside of Liverpool Women's Hospital in northwest England. In this incident, a taxi carrying a passenger arrived at the main entrance roundabout of the hospital. At that moment, an improvised explosive device carried by the passenger partially detonated, blowing out the windows of the automobile and engulfing the vehicle in flames. The explosion killed the bomber and injured the driver.

The suspect, identified as 32-year old Emad Al Swealmeen, was an asylum seeker from the Middle East whose application had been repeatedly refused, first in 2014, then again during an appeal in 2015. Records obtained by the BBC show the bomber then supposedly converted to Christianity in 2017. Some outlets speculate this may have been a ruse to bolster his asylum case.

On Monday, AlertsUSA subscribers were informed that the UK's domestic counter-intelligence and security agency, MI5, raised the terrorism threat level for England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland from SUBSTANTIAL TO SEVERE, meaning additional attacks are highly likely.

Also on Monday, AlertsUSA subscribers were informed that the U.S. Embassy in London had issued a security alert urging American citizens in the UK to maintain a low profile and increased situational awareness when in public places.

Investigators believe the hospital was not the original target, as just a short distance away is Liverpool’s Anglican Cathedral, which was hosting a Remembrance Day service with around 1,200 people at the time of the blast.

Additionally, the design of the explosive device, the composition of the explosive material, along with other details of the attack are leading investigators to believe this was the work of an organized terrorist cell rather than a "lone wolf".

The explosive used in this incident is believed to be TATP, or triacetone triperoxide. The material is also referred to as the Mother of Satan due to the high detonation velocity, as well as susceptibility to accidental detonation. TATP can explode powerfully if subjected to heat, friction, static electricity, strong UV radiation or shock. TATP is the explosive of choice for jihadists in the west due to the widespread availability of the ingredients needed in it's production. In July 2011, Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula actually published the recipe in the sixth edition of Inspire Magazine.

High profile incidents of peroxide-based explosives being used against Western targets include the 2001 attempt to bring down a flight from Paris to Miami by "shoe bomber" Richard Reed, and the 2009 attempt to bring down a flight from Amsterdam to Detroit by underwear bomber Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab.

More recent jihadist attacks in the west involving TATP include:

  • 2015 Paris Attacks
  • 2016 Brussels Airport Attack
  • 2017 Manchester Concert Bombing
  • 2017 Brussels Central Station Attack
  • 2017 Barcelona Car-Ramming Attack and Cambrils Stabbing
  • 2017 Parsons Green, London Underground Attempted Bombing

AlertsUSA once again reminds readers of the threat we face in the U.S. from similar attacks due to the unchecked migrant crisis along the U.S. / Mexico border, not to mention the tens of thousands of improperly vetted Afghan refugees now being resettled across the country. Just last month, AlertsUSA reported on Panama's apprehension of 52 individuals appearing on the U.S. terrorist watch list and biometrically linked to Al Qaeda, headed for the U.S. border.

Despite all of the effort at securing the nation over the past 20 years, the biggest safety feature the U.S. and Canada had was that of geography. But once in this hemisphere, getting into the U.S. would seem to be pretty simple, as evidenced by the 1.7 million illegal aliens from dozens of countries who were encountered along the U.S. southern border in the last fiscal year. This says nothing of the radicals already in the U.S. and Europe who have been emboldened by the Afghanistan pullout debacle.

AlertsUSA again cautions subscribers to maintain a high level of situational awareness when in crowded public venues, and in particular, those associated with holiday events. Just last month, the media arm of the Yemen-based Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), released a video featuring its senior official, Sudanese national and former Guantanamo detainee Ibrahim Al-Qousi, congratulating the Taliban for taking over Afghanistan and threatening the U.S. with attacks more painful than 9/11.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


11/12 - Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers deploys 500 National Guard troops to Kenosha ahead of an expected verdict in the Kyle Rittenhouse case next week. AlertsUSA monitoring..

11/15 - Five teens shot in Nome Park adjacent to Central High School, Aurora, CO. Condition unknown. Suspect at large. AlertsUSA monitoring..

11/19 - Wisconsin jury finds Kyle Rittenhouse not guilty of all charges in Kenosha murder trial. Metro areas across the US bracing for possible violence over verdict.

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Scanning electron micrograph of a cell infected with a variant strain of SARS-CoV-2 virus particles (orange), isolated from a patient sample and colorized. Image captured at the NIAID Integrated Research Facility (IRF) in Fort Detrick, Maryland. - ALLOW IMAGES

Coronavirus Quick Hits

November 20, 2021


According to data provided by the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center, as of Friday evening there have been more than 770,000 total deaths in the U.S. attributed to the SARS-CoV-2 virus.


Canada has opened up its borders to fully vaccinated foreign travelers. As of November 19, 2021, the country had reported over 29,000 deaths.


Brazil remains the Latin American country most affected by COVID-19. As of November 19, 2021, the country had reported over 612,000 deaths attributed to the virus. In second place is Mexico, with more than 292,000 deaths.


Russia still leads the European region in COVID-related fatalities. As of November 19, the country has reported over 516,000 deaths. , followed by Ukraine, Romania and Poland.


Without vaccines, Africa is beating COVID
VT has the highest vax rate in the country. So why are cases surging?
Army to begin forcing out soldiers who refuse COVID vaccine
Europe's fourth coronavirus wave sweeps in with threat of death and division
COVID-19: EU Council updated its ‘safe travel’ list
FDA wants until 2076 to fully release Pfizer vaccine data: lawsuit
OSHA has ‘suspended activities’ related to Biden’s vaccine mandate
Austria orders non-vaccinated people into COVID-19 lockdown
Specter of new COVID restrictions rises in Europe
Czechs Mull Austria-Style Lockdown; Japan Risk: Virus Update
St. Fauci says COVID cases are climbing in some areas of the U.S.
Another major red flag about Covid vaccines and death

World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control (U.S.)
Johns Hopkins CSSE (Interactive map)


According to the CDC's COVID Data Tracker website, more than 448 million doses of the COVID-19 vaccines have been administered within the U.S..


According to the CDC's Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) between mid-December 2020 and Oct 29 of this year, more than 856,000 adverse events have been reported following COVID19 vaccinations. As it is estimated that only 1% of adverse events are recorded into the system, these numbers could be significantly higher.

Reports of adverse events to VAERS following vaccination, including deaths, do not necessarily mean that a vaccine caused a health problem.

Current VAERS reports (U.S. only) related to COVID-19 vaccines include:

Deaths: 8,664
Hospitalizations: 40,500
Urgent Care: 81,910
Anaphylaxis: 2,126
Bell's Palsy: 2,768
Miscarriages: 1,397
Heart Attacks: 4,342
Myo/Pericarditis: 3,900

Chinese Nuclear Forces 2021

Commentary / Analysis / Research

November 20, 2021

Chinese Nuclear Forces 2021

This Nuclear Notebook column from the Federation of American Scientists examines China’s nuclear arsenal, which it now assesses has surpassed France’s as the world’s third largest. It is estimated that China’s stockpile now includes roughly 350 operational warheads with more in production. The stockpile is projected to increase further in the next decade but remains significantly smaller than that of Russia or the United States.


China’s Aircraft Carrier Killers, And Who Else Has Them

Amidst the hype about hypersonics, behind the hysteria and sensational headlines, is a new type of weapon which could help reshape the naval arena. Anti-Ship Ballistic Missiles (ASBMs) pose an unpredictable threat to aircraft carriers and other high-value targets.

Earlier this month it was revealed that China has been building targets in the shape of U.S. Navy aircraft carriers in their remote deserts. Together with other targets, designed to represent American warships, they are believed to be part of the Chinese Navy’s Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) program.

This will provide the China with a potentially game-changing capability. It could inhibit the other countries’ ability or wiliness to employ aircraft carriers against them. Or certainly limit the way that they are employed and thus the tactical and strategic impact of them.


Mexican Cartels Are Embracing Aerial Drones

Aerial drones, once the domain of states alone, have become standard features of the arsenals of terrorists, insurgents, and guerrillas. These actors find the flexibility of aerial drones appealing. But they are not the only ones. Criminal and cartel uses of small weaponized drones are increasingly in the news.


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of Nov 15, 2021  - ALLOW IMAGES
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
November 20, 2021

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of Nov 15, 2021 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting. In cases where a CSG or ARG is conducting disaggregated operations, the chart reflects the location of the capital ship.

An Air Force B-1B Lancer conducts a presence patrol mission over the Red Sea, Nov. 11, 2021. - ALLOW IMAGES
World News Roundup
November 20, 2021


Punishments set for US troops who refuse vaccination
Top general warns China could soon spring surprise nuclear strike on U.S.
USN cannibalizing John F. Kennedy for parts to use on USS Gerald R. Ford
‘Deep distrust’ clouds Xi-Biden agreement on nuclear talks
As U.S. spies look to the future, one target stands out: China
New migrant caravan sets off from southern Mexico border
Are naval forces on the right path? Leaders run wargame to check
Navy scrambling to field hypersonic missiles on submarines
US Army Special Forces shifting their focus to fighting China or Russia
Space junk spreads, creating risk of no-go zones for satellites
F-35 faces stiff competition as European nations decide on future fighters
US warns Iran-backed hackers are targeting key US infrastructure
FBI created ‘threat tags’ over alleged harassment of educators
El Mencho's wife arrested - what does it mean for Jalisco cartel?
Migrant camps grow in Mexico amid uncertainty on US policy
Mexico to deploy troops to Riviera Maya in wake of shootings
Bodies found hanging from bridge in Mexico; gang violence blamed
Panicked shoppers clear out grocery stores in flood-hit BC
Brandon considering US diplomatic boycott of Beijing Olympics
Oversight finds 'small lapses' in security led to Colonial Pipeline, JBS hacks
Colombia monitoring Hezbollah after murder attempt on Israeli agent


France warns Iran against "sham" nuclear negotiating stance
Hamas to be declared terrorist org and supporting it unlawful
Germany suspends approval for Russia's Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline
Russian test blamed for space junk threatening space station
Putin says West taking Russia's 'red lines' too lightly
Belarus clears border migrant camps as first repatriation flight leaves for Iraq
Belarus announces ‘temporary’ closure of oil pipeline to EU
Rush to rescue crashed Navy fighter jet from sea ‘before Russians reach it’
Norwegian undersea surveillance network had its cables mysteriously cut
Belarus: Lukashenko agrees to EU talks on ending migrant standoff
Hungarian, 22, charged with plotting Islamist attack


Iran restarts production of advanced nuclear-program parts
Iran's stockpile of near-weapons-grade nuclear fuel grows, U.N. finds
Palestinian attacker shot dead after stabbing Israeli police
Israel defence minister’s housekeeper charged with spying
Hackers linked to Iranian government targeting critical sectors
2 Iranians charged with threatening US voters in 2020
At least 15 people shot dead in anti-coup protests in Sudan
Security, climate dominate as U.S. SecState kicks off Africa tour
Offical: U.S. intends to move forward on F-35 sale to UAE
Ethiopia: UN warns of 'disturbing' mass arrests of Tigrayans
Kenya on high alert after Uganda double suicide bombings
Sudan protests continue after deadliest day since military coup
Uganda: 21 Suspects Arrested Over Kampala Twin Blasts
Dozens of Palestinians use Barcelona layover to seek asylum in Spain
The Kampala Attacks and Their Regional Implications


U.S. should restrict investment in China due to security concerns, panel says
China's nuclear and military buildup raises the risk of conflict in Asia
Commission: Chinese military now set for invasion of Taiwan
Taiwan deploys advanced new F-16s as China threat grows
Philippines accuses Chinese vessels of firing water cannon at its boats
Azerbaijan: Seven soldiers killed in border clashes with Armenia
Taiwan opens Lithuania office as China condemns ‘egregious’ move
Indonesia arrests senior cleric for ties to Jemaah Islamiah
U.N. envoy says Islamic State now appears present in all Afghan provinces

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Book - Three Seconds Until Midnight by Dr. Steven Hatfill et al..

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Travel Security Resources

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The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research on the security situation at your destination prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution

Active USGOV Travel Advisories
Alphabetical Country List
Dynamic Map

Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

Overseas Security Advisory Council Logo - ALLOW IMAGES

The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.


The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

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